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Forecasting Kelly Olynyk's Stat Line for His Rookie Season

SALT LAKE CITY, UT - MARCH 23:  Kelly Olynyk #13 of the Gonzaga Bulldogs moves the ball in the first half while taking on the Wichita State Shockers during the third round of the 2013 NCAA Men's Basketball Tournament at EnergySolutions Arena on March 23, 2013 in Salt Lake City, Utah.  (Photo by Streeter Lecka/Getty Images)
Streeter Lecka/Getty Images
Richard LangfordCorrespondent IJune 28, 2013

Kelly Olynyk will ride his limited athleticism to a long and productive NBA career.

The long-haired center from Gonzaga was originally selected 13th overall by the Dallas Mavericks in Thursday night's draft, but he quickly made his way to Boston. 

The Celtics tweeted the news:

Of course, those weren't the only draft-day deals Boston was swinging. The Celtics made headlines with this trade tweeted by Pro Basketball Talk's Kurt Helin:

Obviously, as that trade screams, this is a franchise in transition. Olynyk has a golden opportunity to cement himself as a key part of that rebuilding process.

Also, with the suddenly wide open front line in Boston, he should get ample opportunity for minutes in his rookie season. He will be productive in those minutes.

I'll break down his game, but here is what to expect from Olynyk in his maiden year in the NBA. 

 

Kelly Olynyk's Projected Rookie Stat Line

26.5 minutes, 10.2 points, 3.8 rebounds and 3.1 assists

 

Breaking Down Olynyk's Game

With a lack of athleticism, Olynyk will never be a dominant NBA presence; however, he can certainly be an effective one. Celtics general manager Danny Ainge helps shed some light on how Olynyk will make up for his lack of athleticism:

Not surprisingly, Ainge appears to have done a nice job scouting Olynyk's strengths and weaknesses.

Olynyk has an excellent feel for the game. He makes advanced decisions and, given his touch, this makes him a valuable weapon.

The 7-footer can hit jump shots and pass. He will be able to stretch the floor and move the rock. These are always valuable skills in a player with his size. He can also put the ball on the floor with control, and he can even take slower defenders off the dribble. 

He has a nice offensive arsenal while facing the basket, and that stretches out to the perimeter. 

Olynyk is not going to be an elite rebounder, but his hands and feel for the game will allow for him to grab his share of boards.

Defensively, he is going to struggle. Olynyk has been adding bulk, which will help him mark centers, but he will always be hindered by his lack of athleticism.

This will cause some rough moments during his rookie campaign in Boston, but his offensive acumen will help keep him on the court and producing.  

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