The Cleveland Cavaliers are overrated, they aren't the best team in the NBA, and they won't win the championship unless LeBron goes into God-mode.
In the 2006-2007 season Dallas had the best record and lost in the first round.
In the 2005-2006 season Detroit had the best record and lost to Miami.
In the 2004-2005 season Phoenix had the best record and lost to San Antonio.
In the 2003-2004 season Indiana had the best record and lost to Detroit.
In the 2001-2002 season Sacramento had the best record and lost to Los Angeles.
Lastly, in 2000-2001 season San Antonio had the best record and lost to Los Angeles.
The top seed in the league is only 2-6 at championship runs in the last seven years. And the two that won the title with the best record (Boston and San Antonio) had ferocious defenses.
Tracy McGrady called Boston's defense to stop their 22 game win streak last season the "best he had ever played against." Quite a compliment from an NBA all-star and two-time scoring leader.
But besides the anecdotes and history lesson, consider that the Cavs went 3-6 against the Lakers, the Celtics, and the Orlando Magic. They lost twice at Boston, lost at Los Angeles by nearly 20, and lost at Orlando twice by an average of 20 points.
What we have is a team that is unified, focused, good at defense, good at offense, but great at nothing.
They simply played as hard as they could the whole season and took no games off. They wanted the best record in the NBA and earned it but the fact is their players aren't that good.
Keep in mind their poor records the past few years. Their last four seasons were 45 wins, 50 wins, 50 wins, and 42 wins.
But it doesn't mean they are the best. It means they are the hardest working. The Mavericks were a hard working team after losing in the Finals. We all know how that turned out.
They had one player in the top 50 of the league in PER. Obviously it was LeBron.
But the Lakers have three, the Spurs have three, the Celtics have two, Denver has three, and Orlando has two.
Any good team can stop one man. But it takes five to win a championship.
Their great home record is countered by their bad road record and inability to win road games at LA, Boston or Orlando. In fact, except against the Celtics, they weren't even competitive on the road.
Zydrunas Ilgauskas is 33, Ben Wallace is 34; this will make it difficult to sustain a deep post season run and still play with such high intensity.
I think they have a mixture of inexperienced young players and over-the-hill veterans who feed off the tremendous home energy. And don't forget the referee advantage. Whatever help they get during the less-scrutinized regular season will disappear when LeBron makes it to the conference finals.
He simply won't get the calls he gets when going up against other super stars.
And lastly, the NBA is also a game of one-on-one matchups. They only have one great player. All it takes is a solid team with two or three players who are significantly better than the Cleveland gang and they will lose a seven game series.
We saw the Cavaliers lose in the Finals to a team with too many weapons. It'll happen again.