UK Recruiting: Analyzing Chances of Landing Andrew Wiggins and Julius Randle

Matt OveringContributor IIIMarch 4, 2013

UK Recruiting: Analyzing Chances of Landing Andrew Wiggins and Julius Randle

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    Two members of the 2013 college basketball recruiting class would put the Kentucky Wildcats' class among the greatest of all time.

    Andrew Wiggins, the consensus No. 1 overall prospect in 2013, and Julius Randle, a consensus top-five prospect, are both in John Calipari's sights (check ESPN's rankings if you disagree).

    But there's a problem for Calipari. His 2013 class is already the best in the country. He may have a few 5-star players returning to Lexington after this season. There will be players fighting for playing time.

    Wiggins and Randle wouldn't have that fight if they went elsewhere.

    As great as his recruiting pitch may be, his 2013 haul is already great. Wiggins and Randle would be a part of one of the greatest recruiting classes ever if they went to Kentucky.

    Do Wiggins and Randle wish to be Alphas on a basketball team? 

    Or do they want to be a part of something unique to the University of Kentucky?

    Read on for my analysis.

Andrew Wiggins

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    John Calipari enjoys his top prospects.

    Andrew Wiggins would join the likes of John Wall, Anthony Davis and Nerlens Noel as top prospects to come to Kentucky, if he chooses the Wildcats.

    But is that what he wants?

    Obviously, Wiggins would be able to carve his own path at Kentucky. No two years are the same. But he'd join those names at Kentucky. He'd stand alone if he went to, say, Florida State.

    Wiggins would be the highlight of the Kentucky 2013 class. He'd be the presumptive "leader" of the team before even playing a game. 

    Being the "leader" of so many 5-star players should intrigue Wiggins, and his chances to win a championship are highest if he chooses Kentucky.

    Odds: 40 percent

Julius Randle

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    Kentucky "needs" Julius Randle.

    A developed interior threat like Randle is hard to come by nowadays. High school prospects are typically raw and garner reviews based on athleticism and size.

    Randle has it all for a teenage power forward. He has size, strength, athleticism and a low-post game that cannot be matched in the 2013 recruiting class. 

    The Kentucky frontcourt will be crowded next season. Kyle Wiltjer, Marcus Lee, Dakari Johnson and Derek Willis will be in Lexington next year. Willie Cauley-Stein and Alex Poythress may join them.

    If that is the case, Kentucky's chances to land Randle drop rapidly. Add in the fact that Aaron Gordon, (another super-athletic power forward in the 2013 class) is still considering Kentucky, and the chances that Kentucky lands Randle are slim.

    However, if Randle waits till after Wiggins and Gordon decide and neither picks Kentucky, the Wildcats' chances shoot up.

    He's played against Andrew and Aaron Harrison his entire life. Playing beside them at Kentucky must be tantalizing. 

    Odds: 25 percent

Prediction

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    John Calipari would be catching lightning in a bottle if he landed Andrew Wiggins and Julius Randle. 

    Simply adding one of the two would be an incredible feat when you consider what he has already accomplished.

    While Kentucky fans can remain hopeful that both end up in Kentucky Blue next year, it doesn't seem likely. 

    A more-than-satisfactory end to the 2013 recruiting class would be to add one of these 5-star forwards, and Kentucky seems to be in better shape for Wiggins. 

    It would be a disappointment to see Kentucky miss out on both, but the 2013 class has already been as good as advertised for Calipari.