L.J. Moore is a 4-star defensive back recruit who has the Notre Dame Fighting Irish high on his interest list, and he's already taken an official visit to South Bend. However, what are the odds the Irish can land him over the plethora of Pac-12 and Big 12 schools that are also in the running?
Odds: Very Good
Notre Dame's chances of getting a commitment from Moore are very good. In fact, they're better than most other schools have.
247Sports has Notre Dame and UCLA both on the top of his list, followed by California, Oklahoma, Oregon State and Texas Tech all with a "warm interest," so there is undoubtedly a ton of competition for Moore.
It was also reported by Aaron Dickens of RedRaiderSports.com that Moore canceled an official visit to Cal this weekend and will check out Texas Tech instead, so it's feasible to see the Red Raiders jumping up higher on his list. Moore also has officials scheduled with Oregon State, Oklahoma and UCLA.
There are obviously a lot of options on the table for Moore. With all of this competition, how do the Irish come away with such good odds?
In my estimation, it comes down to a simple evaluation of talent, ability to win and need.
Out of all of the schools listed, Notre Dame is easily the team with the most talent, thus giving them the best chance to win now and in the future. Brian Kelly currently has a 4-0 team that's ranked No. 9 in the current AP Poll, and his recruiting class is ranked No. 5 according to Rivals.com, featuring 5-star outside linebacker recruit Jaylon Smith.
With a young, talented quarterback at the helm in sophomore Everett Golson, and a great 2013 class coming in, it's not hard to predict big wins in Notre Dame's future—even BCS National Championship wins.
You pick the odds that ND lands Moore:
The same simply can't be said for any of the other schools interested in Moore, with perhaps the slight exception of Oklahoma having an outside shot due to its history and prominence in the Big 12.
That pitch would be enough to seal the deal on its own, but then in add in the last factor, need, and it makes the most sense for Moore to pick Notre Dame.
The Irish have a talented team, but they have a big need at the defensive back position.
Kelly only has one cornerback commit in 4-star Devin Butler, but after that the secondary needs some help. Moore could come in and play either corner or safety for Notre Dame, and at 6'2'', 185 he'd be able to fit either position at the college level.
When it comes down to it, I see Notre Dame being the best option for the 4-star defensive back.