Whether it's been the signing of Cory Schneider, the comments (per CBC.ca) of Roberto Luongo or the trade rumors (via the Vancouver Sun) surrounding him, all signs have pointed to Roberto leaving Vancouver.
Since I first started writing for Bleacher Reports, I have been a big supporter of Cory Schneider; campaigning for the trade of Luongo at the same time.
The following examines three reasons why Roberto Luongo may remain a Canuck. For now.
First off is the discrepancy between Mike Gillis' demands and the offers on the table. Back on Jul. 12, Eklund of Hockeybuzz posted:
Luongo Update. from a source, "Until the asking price is severely diminished nothing will get done." The two main teams, Toronto and Florida are both starting to turn their focus elsewhere..The Leafs have never been further from getting this deal done for Luongo. I am hearing from all sides Vancouver continues to sit back and wait for someone to accept their offer.
I realize that Eklund is not always the most credible of sources, but the fact that Luongo has yet to be dealt is prove enough of Gillis' high demands.
Another issue that could be holding back a Luongo deal is the number of teams interested. As we all know, Luongo has a no-trade clause. This means that he can essentially give a list of just a few teams which he is willing to accept a trade to. Only a few, if any of those teams would even be looking for a number one, and even less would have the ability to make it happen.
If Gillis was to hold off until the next trade deadline, a lot could change. Teams that currently have no interest could be in need, and teams with little interest could actually require Luongo to get them to the postseason.
Then we have the elephant in the room: there may not be a 2012/13 season. As you all know, talks thus far between the NHLPA and the owners do not look positive.
One of the biggest factors holding back a Luongo trade is the length and size of his contract. Some teams would be willing to take this contract on, but if they won't even get a chance to use his services for a whole year, is it worth it?
Take Brian Burke for example. He is likely in a situation where if the Toronto Maple Leafs miss the playoffs, he could lose his job. They are in desperate need of a starting goalie, and Luongo could be the best candidate to fill that gap.
But if there is no season, then there's no pressure. Brian Burke could hang tight and wait until next season. And with a UFA pool including Kari Lehtonen, Niklas Backstrom, Mike Smith and Jimmy Howard, he could have the opportunity to fill the gap at a better price.