Why Did We Suddenly Find out Andrew Luck Would Be Drafted by the Colts?

Brendan O'HareContributor IApril 19, 2012

INDIANAPOLIS, IN - FEBRUARY 26: Quarterback Andrew Luck of Stanford runs the 40-yard dash during the 2012 NFL Combine at Lucas Oil Stadium on February 26, 2012 in Indianapolis, Indiana. (Photo by Joe Robbins/Getty Images)
Joe Robbins/Getty Images

A day after Indianapolis Colts general manager Ryan Grigson proclaimed the Colts had decided upon who they would be choosing with the number one pick but refusing to name who, sources told ESPN's Adam Schefter that the Colts have told (or: someone telling someone that they heard someone tell someone something) Andrew Luck that he will be chosen first overall.

This should really come as no surprise to anyone with a cable news subscription, or someone who follows Colts owner Jim Irsay on Twitter. Irsay has all but held a parade for Luck, tweeting such things like "Met with Andrew Luck in Indy for three hours. Easy to see why he and No. 1 pick have been synonymous with each other for two years," on the regular, except usually with more prevalent utilization of non-ironic shorthand.

Only once did Irsay ever deviate from character, telling USA Today in late March that the pick was "up in the air". This was probably never true, and most likely stemmed from Grigson sedating Irsay with a low-grade tranquilizer. We've known for months that the Colts were 99 percent certain that Andrew Luck was going to be their selection at number one, so why did the Colts and Grigson suddenly decide yesterday that secrecy was the way to go about this pick?

It was an odd change in the Colts' masthead ideals, especially considering Luck has all but been wine-and-dined by them and Robert Griffin III has been given little more than "we'll get back to you".

Possibly, just possibly, this stems from the report yesterday in the Indianapolis Star that Colts season tickets sales have gone down, and had not sold out for the first time in a decade. As they note, the Colts used to generally have thousands of people on their season-ticket waiting list, stemming from season-ticket holders always renewing. Knowing the information would leak pretty much right away, the potential for increased season-ticket sales is a possible motive for the Colts "going back" on the promise they made yesterday.

No one knows for sure when the Colts told Luck, and timing between the leak and the season-ticket report is pretty damn perfect. So it isn't too unrealistic that the Colts couldn't have controlled when this information got leaked. The flaw to this theory, of course, is that Colts fans have probably had a strong hunch for a while that Luck is going to be the quarterback next season, but to confirm this surely has to sway the minds of a few ticket-holders.

It was the worst-kept secret of the NFL draft, due to Irsay's endless Twitter trumpeting of Luck's glory. So when Grigson decided yesterday that the Colts would be quiet about the whole thing, it seemed odd. Like, what's the point of keeping something so, so obvious a secret. It's similar to telling people you aren't getting a nose job even though the surgical marks are already on your face.

Maybe the season-ticket thing is the reason, maybe it's not. Either way, it is now known who the Colts are taking, and prognosticators can sleep calmly knowing the Colts will not be doing anything erratic. 

They'll definitely still take the full ten minutes to make the pick, though.