Will Carroll has produced an annual Team Health Report for each MLB team for 12 years. The report gives risk ratings for every player in the expected starting lineup and starting rotation, plus two relievers. A proprietary formula sets a baseline according to a player's age and position. It is adjusted by 12 factors, including injury history, team history and expected workload.
This risk rating is classified into three tiers—red (high risk), yellow (medium risk) and green (lower risk). It should be used as a guideline and is about probability, not prediction. To learn more about how the Team Health Reports are devised, click on this article.
2012 Rank: 25th-best of 30 teams in DL days and dollars lost
Biggest Injury: Blue Jays: Jose Bautista, $7.4 million lost value
Head Athletic Trainer: George Poulis
George Poulis has been the head athletic trainer for the Toronto Blue Jays for a decade now, so it's well past the point where any old regime can be blamed for the team's odd results. The front office under Alex Anthopoulus has also been in control long enough to give it full credit or blame for what's happening.
The increased expectations created by the offseason makeover of this team will put a lot more notice and a lot more pressure on both.
Simply put, the Jays can't seem to keep pitchers healthy. They are good—very good—at keeping position players healthy and have gone whole years with nary a single non-traumatic injury to players. But over the past decade and more, the team hasn't been able to keep pitchers healthy.
It's not one thing, one body part or even one level. The Jays break down in new and interesting ways. They hurt elbows, shoulders, hips, backs and legs. They do it at every level of the organization. It's old and young, left and right, anyone that happens to throw a ball off a mound.
And they don't seem to have any answers.
Alex Anthopoulos knows there's an issue, but answers are much harder to come by. The Blue Jays have added to their risk, bringing in risky pitchers like Josh Johnson and R.A. Dickey, as well as players like Jose Reyes. Whether they can keep those players, and their other players, on the field is likely to again decide the level of success of this team.
And if they don't, there may not be more answers, but there may well be some new people asking the questions.
Click ahead for the Blue Jays. Here are links to all the teams' reports.
|AL East||Baltimore||Boston||New York||Tampa Bay||Toronto|
|AL Central||Chicago||Cleveland||Detroit||Kansas City||Minnesota|
Miami ||New York||Philadelphia||Washington|
|NL Central||Chicago||Cincinnati||Milwaukee||Pittsburgh||St. Louis|
|NL West||Arizona||Colorado||L.A.||San Diego||S.F.|
Will Carroll is the Lead Writer for Sports Medicine at Bleacher Report. He has written about sports injuries and related topics for 12 years. His column is called "the industry standard" by Hall of Famer Peter Gammons.