Will Carroll has produced an annual Team Health Report for each MLB team for 12 years. The report gives risk ratings for every player in the expected starting lineup and starting rotation, plus two relievers. A proprietary formula sets a baseline according to a player's age and position. It is adjusted by 12 factors, including injury history, team history and expected workload.
This risk rating is classified into three tiers—red (high risk), yellow (medium risk) and green (lower risk). It should be used as a guideline and is about probability, not prediction. To learn more about how the Team Health Reports are devised, click on this article.
2012 Rank: 12th out of 30 teams in DL days and dollars lost
Five-Year Rank: Brandon Beachy, $7.2 million lost value
Head Athletic Trainer: Jeff Porter
The Atlanta Braves head in to the 2013 season a vastly different team than the one we saw last year. In fact, this is a generational change the likes of which we haven't seen since...well, even Tommy Lasorda didn't have a signature player the way that Bobby Cox did with Chipper Jones. Jones is gone now, and these new Braves are defined by brothers.
The Uptons—Bossman Jr. and Justin—came via free agency and trade, respectively. Both bring what must be a genetic proclivity for shoulder problems and the disdain of baseball scouts who think they play "too easy." That same style of play has kept them mostly healthy and figures to make them age pretty well. Neither has slowed down, neither dives, neither steals all the bases they could, but they do end up playing in most of the games.
The rest of the team is relatively healthy. Jeff Porter kept the team moving despite the aches and creaks of Chipper Jones and the preseason death of his wife, which would have broken lesser men. He'll face some challenges working Brian McCann back into playing shape and getting a couple of guys back into the rotation from Tommy John, but the team does have a manageable risk profile.
There's more talent here than last year, but the Nationals might be even more talented than they were in 2012. Cox is gone, Chipper is gone and any dynastic notion that went with those two is gone as well. It's up to a new generation now.
Unless, that is, that my hunch that there's a bit of Brett Favre in Chipper Jones holds true. The trade of Martin Prado leaves something of a hole at third base, and there's no way someone like Chris Johnson is going to hold back Chipper if he decides that he wants back in.
Click ahead for the Braves. Here are links to all the teams' reports.
|AL East||Baltimore||Boston||New York||Tampa Bay||Toronto|
|AL Central||Chicago||Cleveland||Detroit||Kansas City||Minnesota|
Miami ||New York||Philadelphia||Washington|
|NL Central||Chicago||Cincinnati||Milwaukee||Pittsburgh||St. Louis|
|NL West||Arizona||Colorado||L.A.||San Diego||S.F.|
Will Carroll is the Lead Writer for Sports Medicine at Bleacher Report. He has written about sports injuries and related topics for 12 years. His column is called "the industry standard" by Hall of Famer Peter Gammons.