NCAA Tournament Bubble Breakdown: Virginia vs. Oregon

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NCAA Tournament Bubble Breakdown:  Virginia vs. Oregon

Just when I thought I had covered the two and only bubble teams from the ACC in recent days, suddenly a third team has entered the fray.

Thanks to the heroics of FSU's Ian Miller on Thursday night, the Virginia Cavaliers suddenly find themselves at 8-7 in the ACC.  With Clemson beating Virginia Tech on Thursday, Virginia is locked in a four-way tie for fourth place in the league—with Clemson, NC State and Miami.

In that position, Virginia is now fighting to secure an NCAA Tournament bid, with just one regular season game to go.  The Cavaliers play at Maryland on Sunday—certainly not a chalk win—and will then wait to see where they are seeded in next week’s ACC Tournament.  The Cavs could be seeded anywhere from fourth—in which case they would get a first-round bye—to as low as seventh.

Meanwhile, out in the Pac-12, Oregon won a possible bubble-elimination game with Colorado.  Both teams entered the game tied at 11-5 in the league; after the win the Ducks are now tied with Arizona for third place.  The Ducks host Utah on Saturday before the Pac-12 Tournament next week.

After Thursday’s games, just how close is Oregon to making the NCAA Tournament?  In just how much danger is Virginia—still ranked No. 24 in the AP poll—of actually missing the tourney altogether?  Here’s a look at the case for each team.  Records and rankings provided below. 

Updated RPI/SOS Information from

Virginia:  22-8, 9-7 ACC; RPI:  41, SOS:  81

Oregon:  22-8, 13-5 Pac-12; RPI:  49, SOS:  88

Head-to-head:  Virginia won 67-54, at Oregon


Other NCAA Tournament Bubble Breakdowns


Alabama-So. Miss

NC State-Tennessee

West Virginia-Xavier



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