The NFL Picks Column, Week Eight: Vegas Doesn't Respect the Buffalo Bills

Sean Crowe@CroweKnowsSenior Writer IOctober 24, 2008

I thought about using the new ranking system to help my pick games this week, but apparently that’s like counting cards in Vegas. Plus, my tried and true system of picking NFL games based on my first impression after seeing the spread is WAY more entertaining.

Well, to me anyway…

Why Vegas continues to disrespect the Bills is beyond me. They're 5-1. They just walloped the Chargers. And they seem to know how to beat bad teams.

Yet check out the spread below. Insanity.

And now, what you've all been waiting for: the picks!


Buffalo (-1) over MIAMI

The Bills should be insulted that they’re only favored by one point against the Dolphins. I’m insulted.

For God’s sakes, they just pounded the tar out of the Chargers and they’re barely favored by a point against the Dolphins? I recognize the potential for a letdown game, but seriously…one point?

BALTIMORE (-7.5) over Oakland

The Ravens’ 3-3 record is pretty good in a relatively mediocre NFL. But when you take a closer look, it’s far less impressive. They’ve played six games, three against good teams and three against terrible teams.

Against the terrible teams (Bengals, Browns, and Dolphins) the Ravens are 3-0, winning by a combined score of 72-33.

Against the good teams (Steelers, Titans, Colts) they’re 0-3, losing by a combined score of 67-33.

The Ravens beat up on crappy teams and can’t seem to beat the good teams. Oakland is a crappy team.

San Diego (-3) over New Orleans

Technically, the Saints are the home team. But since the game is being played in England, neither team gets a home field advantage.

I’m disgusted that this game is being played in England. The fact that a trip across the ocean could potentially decide a playoff race is inexcusable.

Kansas City (+14) over NEW YORK JETS

I have a rule. When the New York Jets are favored by 14 points, I always pick the other team. Every single time.


Favre should be spending more time learning not to throw stupid interceptions than helping other teams game plan against his former team.

Tampa Bay (+2) over DALLAS

The Bucs are a steady, solid team that doesn’t make mistakes and plays good defense. The Cowboys are a talented team with a ton of egos, a crazy owner, a puppet head coach, and a QB with a busted finger.

I’ll take the Bucs, thanks.

Atlanta (+9) over PHILADELPHIA

Matty Ice is leading the Falcons back to respectability, but the Eagles need this game. The Falcons will keep it close, but desperation wins out once again.

NEW ENGLAND (-7.5) over St. Louis

The Rams are on fire, beating the Redskins and Cowboys on consecutive weeks. So the worst team in the NFL is now 2-1 against the NFC East, the recognized best division in football.

To say this season has been a little confusing would be a massive understatement.

Want a nice little sleeper for your fantasy football team this week? Look at Patriots-Examiner~y2008m10d24-Undrafted-rookie-BenJarvus-GreenEllis-could-play-significant-role-against-Rams">BenJarvus Green-Ellis.

CAROLINA (-4) over Arizona

You know what I love about professional athletes? They don’t even realize how hypocritical they really are. On the one hand, all they want to do is win. They’ll tell you. It’s all about winning.

On the other hand, if they finally start winning, but some rookie named Tim Hightower is taking a chunk of your carries, you’re angry.

See? Entertainingly hypocritical.

Washington (-8) over DETROIT

I lack the ability to make a Detroit Lions game interesting. How many different ways can you say, “They’re terrible, they’ll lose, the spread isn’t high enough”?

JACKSONVILLE (-7) over Cleveland

Jacksonville thought they had a shot at winning the AFC South. They’re currently sitting three games back of the Titans. They have three straight weeks against bad teams (Browns, Bengals, Lions) before their second game of the year against the Titans. They have to win all three games if they want their game against the Titans to mean anything in the AFC South division race.

PITTSBURGH (-2.5) over New York Giants

Could this be a Super Bowl preview? Maybe. If the season ended today, these would be the teams I’d pick to make it there.

The teams are relatively even. They both have fantastic defenses. They both have power-based offenses. The difference, in my opinion, is the quarterback. I trust Ben Roethlisberger far more than I trust Eli Manning.

SAN FRANCISCO (-5) over Seattle

What happens when a pathetic team meets a pathetic defense? The team that’s only 2/3 pathetic kicks the tar out of the team that’s 100 percent pathetic.

Also, it’s very painful to watch.

HOUSTON (-9) over Cincinnati

Normally, I’d be against taking Houston when they’re favored by nine points. But the Bengals aren’t a normal team.

TENNESSEE (-4) over Indianapolis

I’m not sure about the Colts. Initially, I thought they’d be OK. Just a few early season struggles. But when do early season struggles become season long trends? At what point do we start to worry?

I’m starting to worry.


Last Week: 7-7

Season Record: 49-48-2


Sean Crowe is a Senior Writer and an NFL Community Leader at Bleacher Report. You can email him at His archive can be found here. You can find everything he writes, including articles for other publications, here.

Crowe is also the New England Patriots Examiner at Check it out for all the latest on the New England Patriots.


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