1. STL - Sam Bradford QB
The right position, but the wrong player. Clausen is the better prospect in my opinion, but Bradford looks set to go No. 1 overall. This pick is complete.
But, despite being the first overall pick the Rams will be unwilling to give Bradford too much money considering his shoulder situation. If the two sides can't agree the Rams will try to trade the pick (or even pass on it).
2. DET - Ndamukong Suh, DT
The Lions traded for Corey Williams and Rob Sims, so will they go with an OT or DT? They may well try to trade down, but the teams within reach all have bigger needs.
Jeff Backus was solid at LT in '08 and Sims is a LG, meaning it would be a difficult transition to put Backus at LG and Sims to another O-line position. In the end, the move could cause more disruption than it can solve.
The Lions can plug Suh into their system immediately, improving the pass rush and giving KVB the inside push he needs to succeed (see his '08 sack number without Haynesworth, compared to '07 with him).
3. TB - Gerald McCoy, DT
Reports indicate that the Bucs prefer Suh, but with him off the board they settle for the next best thing. Tampa desperately needs to improve the interior of their defense and this pick really is a no-brainer.
Remember, owever, that the Bucs don't like to spend. If they get an offer to move down don't be surprised if they take it.
Trade—Buffalo trade the ninth and 41st overall picks (1840 points) with the Redskins for the fourth overall pick and 132nd overall pick (1840).
4. BUF - Russell Okung, OT
Buffalo made some shrewd moves on defense this offseason, including the acquisition of veteran MLB Andra Davis. Their offensive line needs a major overhaul, however, and it starts by taking the consensus No. 1 OT. The Redskins will be desperate to move down with just one pick in the first three rounds.
The Bills get their LT of the next decade.
5. KC - Dan Williams, NT
Pioli is no stranger to reaching for positional value. He did so last year with DE Tyson Jackson. NT is the Chiefs' biggest need with Albert at least being adequate as a starting LT. The Chiefs can also fill that position in round two, where they have two second-round picks.
6. SEA - Trent Williams, OT
Williams has been slowly rising up draft boards, and he provides good value for Pete Carroll. The Hawks need to protect whoever is at QB and can wait another year until they take their QB of the future.
Trade—the Browns trade the seventh overall pick (1,500) to the 49ers for the 13th overall pick and 49th overall pick (1,560).
7. SF - Jimmy Clausen, QB
The 49ers have to make a move for a QB. Alex Smith is fine running the spread, but it ruins Frank Gore's productivity. Singletary will recognize this and realize he has to make a change to get to the hard-nosed running game he so desires.
The Browns' new GM Mike Holmgren recently mentioned that he "wished he liked Clausen more"—a potential smokescreen to acquire a trade partner?
8. OAK - Bruce Campbell, OT
This pick is basically a done deal. The Raiders need an OT and Campbell can bench and run fast.
9. WAS - Bryan Bulaga, OT
The Skins need to add an OT to protect Donovan McNabb. If Okung is not the perfect fit for Shanahan he may opt to trade down and take the next OT who falls to him. In this scenario that guy is Bulaga, who is athletic enough to play in Mike's ZBS and should help to keep the new franchise QB on his feet.
Trade—the Jags send the 10th overall pick (1300) to the Texans for the 20th overall pick and 51st overall pick (1250).
10. HOU - Eric Berry, S
It's hard to beat Peyton Manning, but the Texans can give themselves a much better chance by taking the best safety since Sean Taylor. He falls because of positional value, but the Jags want a second round pick and their needs don't exactly much the talent available.
11. DEN - Rolando McClain, ILB
The Broncos foolishly released solid veteran Andra Davis, but they get a major talent here. As long as the Broncos keep Marshall I doubt they go receiver, so they get more help for the defense. DE, CB, and S are all still options here, though.
Trade—the Dolphins trade the 12th overall pick (1200) to the Titans for the 16th overall pick and the 77th overall pick (1205)
12. TEN - Derrick Morgan, DE
The Titans jump up a few spots to acquire a top-10 talent who has slipped a little because of the number of 3-4 teams picking high. The Titans have a solid offense but need to get more pressure on the QB. CB is an option, but a good pass rush can make poor coverage better.
13. CLE - CJ Spiller, HB
The Browns have Jerome Harrison in the backfield but little else. With the funky offense it looks like they'll be running next year with Cribbs and Wallace.
It would be wise to add another player with game breaking ability. The role would fit the dynamic Spiller perfectly.
14. SEA - Dez Bryant, WR
The truth is, T.J. Houshmandzadeh is not a No. 1 receiver. He is perfect as a possession No. 2 guy, but he's not the most explosive.
Bryant offers the ability to stretch the field and is well worth this pick despite his off the field issues. Name me a top receiver who isn't a little arrogant. Moss, Johnson, Marshall, TO—all pains in the neck, but their talent more than makes up for it.
15. NYG - Jared Odrick, DT
The Giants had trouble in the secondary last year, but they added Rolle in free agency and have players returning from injury. They need to upgrade the LB corps, but they won't be able to help much if they have interior linemen running free towards them.
The Giants biggest need is the interior of their line and Odrick is one of the most underrated players in this draft with the ability to play both 3-4 DE and 4-3 DT.
16. MIA - Jason Pierre-Paul, DE/OLB
This pick makes more sense at No. 16 than it does at No. 12. JPP has a ton of upside but he is also high-risk. He can team with the impressive Cameron Wake to improve the Fins' front seven and hopefully generate more pressure on opposing QBs.
17. SF - Mike Iupati - OG/OT
Iupati is a versatile, nasty lineman that Singletary will covet. He can play inside or shift to RT and help with the development of Clausen. He is a fairly raw prospect but can help a rapidly improving Niners O-line.
18. PIT - Joe Haden, CB
The Steelers have been in turmoil this offseason and holes are suddenly appearing all over the place. Despite this, Tomlin won't pass up the opportunity to add the best corner in the draft all the way down at No. 18.
Unlike some current Steelers, Haden has no off-the-field issues and can replace the bitterly disappointing Bryant McFadden. A lot was made of Troy Polamalu's loss to the Steeler D, but their CBs had two picks all year. Wow.
Trade—Atlanta trade the 19th overall pick (875) to the Eagles for the 24th overall pick and the 87th overall pick (900)
19. PHI - Kyle Wilson, CB
With the bewildering trade of Sheldon Brown for merely fourth- and fifth-round picks, the Eagles need to address the corner position early. Wilson had a fantastic Senior Bowl and a solid Combine, and will compete with Ellis Hobbs for the starting spot across from Asante Samuel.
20. JAG - Devin McCourty, CB
The Jags have a solid team but Derrick Cox simply had a torrid time in his first year as a starter. Rashean Mathis has also shown a propensity to get hurt, so the Jags take the aggressive CB who can also give them help in the return game.
21. CIN - Taylor Mays
The Bengals seem to like Roy Williams and so they take his successor here. They have a need at SS and Lewis has shown he likes to draft USC players. A match made in heaven.
22. NE - Sean Weatherspoon, ILB
The Patriots took a slight step back last year and one of the reasons for it was a total lack of leadership on the defensive side of the ball. Veterans like Tedy Bruschi, Mike Vrabel, and Richard Seymour had all moved on, and no one really stepped up to replace them.
The revamp of the D continues, and the loud-mouthed ILB can step in beside Mayo in place of the average Guyton and try to provide a much needed spark.
23. GB - Charles Brown, OT
The Packers need a long-term solution to their protection troubles and Brown provides that. Don't expect Ted Thompson to have guys like Davis with work-ethic problems on his board. Instead, he'll look for a clean character.
24. ATL - Brandon Graham, DE
The high-motor Graham still falls to the Falcons at No. 24. Atlanta must draft a DE. Abraham is well into his 30s and they have no one opposite him. If they are to improve their standing from last year, they'll need to apply more pressure to opposing QBs.
25. BAL - Earl Thomas, FS
Somehow the talented safety has fallen all the way to No. 25. The Jets were looking to make a move up but didn't have the ammunition, and the Ravens were happy to take the successor to Ed Reed anyway. The HOFer has had neck issues the past few years, and so Baltimore gets his replacement for when he eventually retires.
26. ARI - Anthony Davis, OT
For the past few years the Cards have been able to get away with sup par OTs because of Warner's incredibly quick release. Not so anymore. If Leinart is the QB then he will need some serious protection and Davis can also help the shift towards the run game.
Trade—Dallas trades the 27th overall pick (680) to the Saints for the 32nd overall pick and 95th overall pick (710)
27. NO - Sergio Kindle, DE/OLB
The Saints helped their run D by adding Alex Brown, but they need to generate more pass rush than they did last year. Kindle can play DE on passing downs and OLB on run downs, providing great versatility.
28. SD - Kareem Jackson, CB
Charger fans will be screaming for Ryan Matthews but in my opinion he's a little overrated. His stock soared after the season with an impressive Combine, which always makes me a little wary. Quentin Jammer is 31, so a contingency plan is needed.
29. NYJ - Jerry Hughes, OLB
Hughes is one of the most underrated prospects in this year's class. He has all the pass rushing tools to be incredibly successful but needs more consistency against the run. Rex Ryan will find a way to scheme him into the defense, which may mean the end of Vernon Gholston.
30. MIN - Maurkice Pouncey, C/OG
The Vikings could definitely do with an upgrade in the interior of their line. Favre will probably be back, but it would be smart of the Vikes to rely more on AP. They could use a CB but none are worth the pick, they may also wish to draft a young DT to replace Pat Williams in a year or two.
31. IND - Jermaine Gresham, TE
it doesn't make sense at first glance, but Clark will be 31 by the time the season starts. Polian seems to always draft offense and without an O-lineman worth the pick, the Colts take the best player available.
32. DAL - Nate Allen, S
Allen is slowly rising up draft boards and rightly so. The talented safety can immediately step in ahead of the released Ken Hamlin. He'll be a late first/early second round pick in about a week's time.