Last week's record: 8-5
Overall record: 90-39
Lock of the Week: 6-for-9
Chicago (4-4) @ San Francisco (3-5): Chicago's defense is not stopping anybody, and their offense is not good enough to outscore teams in a shootout. As long as Alex Smith does a better job of protecting the ball, San Francisco will pick up a win.
San Francisco wins, 23-20
Buffalo (3-5) @ Tennessee (2-6): This game will be all about Chris Johnson. Because Tennessee has been so bad, Johnson hasn't gotten the attention that other running backs have gotten, but he is playing great. Buffalo has been stout against the pass but horrible against the run. Tennessee will win on the shoulders of Johnson.
Tennessee wins, 26-14
New Orleans (8-0) @ St. Louis (1-7): This won't be close. As always, Steven Jackson will do whatever he can to keep St. Louis hanging around, but the Saints are the better team by far. The only thing to watch for is another slow start from the Saints. It won't happen, but it would be troubling if it does.
New Orleans wins, 44-10 (Lock of the Week)
Tampa Bay (1-7) @ Miami (3-5): Will Tampa's defense be able to stop the Wildcat? In short, no. Tampa's offense is getting better, but they'll be facing a better defense than the one they faced last week. Miami has to win if they want to stay in the AFC playoff picture.
Miami wins, 24-17
Detroit (1-7) @ Minnesota (7-1): Detroit usually plays the Vikings tough, so this will be closer than most think, but it will still end up being a blowout. The Vikings are rested and at home, while the Lions just lost to a bad Seahawks team. Case closed.
Minnesota wins, 28-13
Jacksonville (4-4) @ New York Jets (4-4): Whichever team loses this game will fall out of playoff contention. The Jets have been on a bad streak since their fast start, and the Jags aren't a very good team to begin with despite their record. These two seem pretty evenly matched, so home field will tip the scale toward the Jets.
New York Jets win, 17-14
Cincinnati (6-2) @ Pittsburgh (6-2): Because Cincy has a victory over Pittsburgh this season, this game is more important to the Steelers. The Bengals have a pretty easy schedule after this, so they would be on the fast track to the division title with a win.
Pittsburgh dominated the Bengals for three quarters in Cincy and then let it slip away in the fourth quarter early this season. Now with the defense playing like it did last year, the Steelers will not let that happen again.
Pittsburgh wins, 27-14
Denver (6-2) @ Washington (2-6): The Redskins' two victories have come against the Rams and the Bucs. Yes, Denver has struggled, but they've struggled against good teams. Washington is in complete disarray, which makes this a perfect rebound game for the Broncos.
Denver wins, 17-6
Atlanta (5-3) @ Carolina (3-5): The Panthers have looked a lot better in the past few weeks now that they've started using their running game. With that said, Jake Delhomme is still under center. They will not have a lead late in the game, and they have shown that they are not willing to throw the ball in that situation. Atlanta, on the other hand, can rely on Michael Turner to get the win.
Atlanta wins, 28-20
Oakland wins, 14-7
Dallas (6-2) @ Green Bay (4-4): This is very close to being a must-win for the Pack. Not quite, but just about. Looking back over their schedule, they don't have any quality wins. Dallas is coming in on a roll, and a win against them would be huge for the Packers. For Green Bay to get the win, they have to slow down the Cowboys' offense, but they've shown no evidence that they can stop anybody right now.
Dallas wins, 29-18
Seattle (3-5) @ Arizona (5-3): Arizona will win this game if they don't beat themselves like they did against the Panthers. They did whatever they wanted against the Bears, and there is no reason as to why they wouldn't do the same against Seattle's average-at-best defense.
Arizona wins, 30-16
Philadelphia (5-3) @ San Diego (5-3): Neither team can be counted on right now. However, fans are falling over themselves to get onto the Chargers' bandwagon. But they're not a great team. They've been better over the last few weeks, but they've played bad teams. Fans continue to wait for the Chargers to run off a bunch of games against good teams, but they're an average team.
For Philly, they need to get off to a fast start. The defense will be fine, and as long as the offense hits a few big plays, they will win.
Philly wins, 29-21
New England (6-2) @ Indianapolis (8-0): Like all of their games, this will be close. It will probably come down to the last drive. That means this comes down to which situation you would feel more comfortable in: Tom Brady, Randy Moss, and Wes Welker against a decimated Colts secondary, or Peyton Manning and his receivers against an opportunistic secondary. I'll take Brady & Co.
New England wins, 30-26
Baltimore wins, 35-10