Free NFL Picks: Week 10
It makes sense. Dump the crab cakes, nights on the Chesapeake and trips to the beach for...uh...um. Yeah, I'm not sure what you do in Indianapolis.
Apparently the only thing to do was lose.
The Colts did it well and they did it often.
In fact the Colts never had a 10-win season between 1984 and 1999. And mixed in with their futility were a mere three playoff appearances.
It was bad. Really, really, really bad.
Even though 1999 marked the Indianapolis Colts’ first 10-win season, the most memorable year was 1998.
After Peyton's rookie season, he led the Colts to nine seasons of 10 wins or more including the current seven-season streak that will push to eight at season's end.
I admit I was not a big Peyton Manning fan. I thought he was the kind of guy who would win a bunch of regular season games, pile up stats and never win a big game.
He proved me wrong and the crow did not taste well.
All of this only confirmed how influential a quarterback can be for a franchise.
Land a stud and you can turn a franchise around. Land a dud and you could set your franchise back a couple of years.
With this in mind I thought I would give a new gambling theory a try.
This week I'm going to pick games with an eight-point spread or less and base the pick on the quarterback matchup. Since eight points signify a one-possession game, it makes sense to allow the quarterback matchups dictate my picks.
After a 3-0 week last week I look to up the 28-24 record:
Peyton Manning (-3) vs. Tom Brady
This is the best debate in all of sports.
Brady or Manning?
This is one argument that cannot be won. When it is all said and done these two could be the greatest quarterbacks to ever play in the NFL.
The league is set up for passing offenses and they know how to exploit it.
Ultimately I have to side with Manning because he is playing on his home turf.
Indianapolis 33 - New England 26
Matt Ryan (-1.5) @ Jake Delhomme
No one—and I mean no one—can possibly like Jake against Matty Ice.
I don't care where this game is being played. They could play in Afghanistan, in Russia, or in my garage.
There is no way I'm going to take Jake Delhomme in this matchup.
Jason Campbell (+4) vs. Kyle Orton
These two stiffs make bums like Doug Pederson and Sean Salisbury look like hall-of-famers. If you don't know who those two are go look up their stats and enjoy the laugh.
Since this is an even matchup I have to take the points.
Ben Roethlisberger (-7) vs. Carson Palmer
Big Ben has two Super Bowl titles and is starting to pile up some nice stats as well.
Carson Palmer is a stud and I believe he will get his Super Bowl someday. But I have to take Ben here.
There is no way he is going to let his team get swept by a division rival at home on his watch.
Matt Cassel (+2) @ JaMarcus Russell
Whenever a quarterback's rating looks like your buddy's front-nine scorecard in golf you better not back that signal caller.
Huh? Golf? Football? Where are we?
You got it?
Kansas City 23 - Oakland 20
Donovan McNabb (+2.5) @ Philip Rivers
Therefore Rivers is the West Coast version of McNabb.
With an even matchup like this, I once again have to take the points.
Philadelphia 32 - San Diego 20
What is the duplicate article?
Why is this article offensive?
Where is this article plagiarized from?
Why is this article poorly edited?