NFL Week 10: The Picks

Alex Tichenor@alextichenorCorrespondent INovember 11, 2009

Last Week: 8-5 (vs. spread: 8-5)

(Game of the Week: 0-1, Upset of the Week: 0-1, Lock of the Week: 0-1)

Overall: 80-49 (vs. spread: 73-56)

(Game of the Week: 5-4, Upset of the Week: 2-5, Lock of the Week: 5-2


The Picks

San Francisco vs. Chicago

Both of these teams are playing very poorly, particularly on defense. The Niners should be able to run the ball against the struggling Bears.

Matt Forte is certainly not Chris Johnson and won't be able to get going against an above-average San Fran run defense. That will be the difference in this football game.

San Francisco 23 (-3.5) , Chicago 17


Carolina vs. Atlanta

Both of these teams are playing very well right now.

After starting slow, the Panthers run game has come alive and is now third in the league. Their defense is also improved.

Michael Turner has turned it on for Atlanta, but the Falcons are hampered by injuries.

DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart will be able to run all over the Falcons in Charlotte and send their fans home happy.

Carolina 28 (+1.5) , Atlanta 24


Miami vs. Tampa Bay

In a year with a bunch of truly pathetic teams, it is surprising that there are two teams still undefeated, and no club without a win.

Tampa cannot expect another one against a Dolphins team that is playing very well.

Miami 33 (-9.5) , Tampa Bay 10


Minnesota vs. Detroit

What a gift coming off of a bye week.

There is no way the Vikes will slip against a Lions team playing as bad as it did last season.

Adrian Peterson will finally have a crazy game after getting a good rest.

Minnesota 38 (-16.5) , Detroit 10


New York Jets vs. Jacksonville

It's simple: If Maurice Jones-Drew gets the ball 25 times, the Jags are in good shape to win.

But the Jets will get up early, and Jacksonville will go away from the run yet again as the Jets turn a victory into a blowout.

New York 34 (-6.5) , Jacksonville 13


Pittsburgh vs. Cincinnati

It's arguable that no one is playing football as well as the Bengals and Steelers right now.

Cincy crushed a good Ravens team last week and blew out a decent Bears team the week before. Pittsburgh beat a one-loss Broncos team on the road by 18 and an undefeated Vikings team before that.

The Patriots-Colts game in Indy will get more publicity, but this is truly the game of the week because of the divisional ties.

Pittsburgh 20, Cincinnati 17 (+6.5) (Game of the Week)


St. Louis vs. New Orleans

The days of "The Greatest Show on Turf" Rams are long gone. The Saints could lay claim to that nickname now, playing their home games down in the Superdome.

It is more likely that Marc Bulger will win the league MVP than it is the Rams will win this game, although Steven Jackson should be able to run well.

New Orleans 45 (-13.5) , St. Louis 14 (Lock of the Week)


Tennessee vs. Buffalo

All of a sudden, Tennessee is on a two-game winning streak. It's the perfect matchup to make it three.

Chris Johnson has to be chomping at the bit to run against this Bills' defense. He could make a legitimate run at 2,000 yards this season.

Tennessee 27 (-6.5) , Buffalo 7


Washington vs. Denver

If there's a team to help break a losing skid, it's Washington.

Clinton Portis will likely miss this game with a concussion.

There are rumors as of Wednesday morning that the Redskins may sign Larry Johnson. That's the sign of a desperate football team.

Denver 20 (-4.5) , Washington 3


Oakland vs. Kansas City

The Raiders came away with an ugly win at Arrowhead the last time these two teams met. This will definitely be another grade-F stinker.

I'll take Matt Cassel over JaMarcus Russell any day of the week.

Kansas City 20 (+1.5) , Oakland 12


Arizona vs. Seattle

Seattle has had horrible luck with injuries again this year. Big tackle Walter Jones and star linebacker Lofa Tatupu are out for the year among others.

Arizona has to eventually win a tough one at home this year.

This game will be very close.

Arizona 31 , Seattle 27 (+8.5)


Green Bay vs. Dallas

Aaron Rodgers gets sacked way too many times. Even Tampa got to him all day long.

Dallas has been very successful at rushing the passer since their turnaround.

Rodgers is in for a very, very long day.

Dallas 24 (-2.5) , Green Bay 17


San Diego vs. Philadelphia

Suddenly the Chargers are a single game behind the Broncos for control of the NFC West. They cannot afford to lose against Philly at home.

Tomlinson sure won't be able to run against the Eagles D, and their secondary can shut down opposing quarterbacks.

However, Rivers is in the class of QBs that can play well against anybody and will pick the Eagles secondary apart like Drew Brees did in Week Two.

San Diego 31 (-2.5) , Philadelphia 26


Indianapolis vs. New England

This is the game the whole nation will be excited about.

Brady vs. Manning.

The vet Bill Belichick vs. the rookie Jim Caldwell.

However you want to spin it, this is a big one; perhaps a deciding factor for home field advantage in the playoffs.

Brady will pick apart an injury-weakened Colts secondary better than Manning will be able to beat the Pats defensive backfield.

This will truly be a battle of the quarterbacks as both teams have miserable running games.

New England 34 (+2.5) , Indianapolis 28 (Upset of the Week)


Cleveland vs. Baltimore

Cleveland is the worst team in football right now.

Their team on the field is in disarray, their front office team is in disarray, and the whole organization is a mess.

The Ravens might be struggling, but they are no mess. They will win this game very easily.

A dominant defensive performance should be in order.

Baltimore 38 (-10.5) , Cleveland 7


Game of the Week: Pittsburgh vs. Cincinnati

Upset of the Week: New England over Indianapolis

Lock of the Week: New Orleans over St. Louis


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