NFLWeek Six Picks: Eli Wins on the Road, Broncos Take First L, I'm Not a Homer

Steven Smith by Contributor Written on October 17, 2009
EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ - OCTOBER 11:  Eli Manning #10 of the New York Giants throws a pass against the Oakland Raiders on October 11, 2009 at Giants Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey.  (Photo by Jim McIsaac/Getty Images) (Photo by Jim McIsaac/Getty Images)

Last weekend was a blur of hippies, pretzel necklaces, and Hooters girls so I didn’t get to my prediction piece. I finished with 11 correct picks and am fighting for more in my NFC West Pick’Em League.

(Don't know what I'm talking about? Click here for a brief outline of the competition).

 

Texans @ Bengals

Fantasy owners of Matt Schaub must be pretty happy right now. He's third in passing yards and tied for second with 10 touchdowns and only four interceptions.

The Texan offense has forgotten how to run the ball, which has allowed Schaub to sling the rock around for most of the season.

The Bengals have been squeaking out wins to a 4-1 start. Cedric Benson should have a great day going against a Houston defense that gives up 140 yards on the ground.

Cincy might come out slow after an emotional win against the Ravens last week, but I think Bengals wake up in the second half to win another late.

 

Lions @ Packers

Initially, I really liked Detroit to win. The Packers give up 23 points a game and only have five sacks on the season.

I expected Matt Stafford or Daunte Culpepper to have plenty of time attack in what I thought would be a possible shootout. That all went down the drain with Calvin Johnson expected to miss the game.

The responsibility to move the ball now rests on Kevin Smith, and the Packers will load up to stop him. Without much resistance from Detroit's defense, the Packers should win this easy.

 

Ravens @ Vikings

The Ravens have lost their last two games and will be desperate to stop the streak in Minnesota. This looks to be more of an offensive battle than expected, but this game will be won in the trenches.

It has been reported that rookie Michael Oher will be at left tackle in this game. Oher is doing well, but will be out matched going against Jared Allen. Unless the Ravens choose to keep a tight end in to block, Allen will be harassing Joe Flacco all day.

The Baltimore defense just gave up their first 100-yard runner in what seems like a century. I don’t think it will be two in a row, but Adrian Petersen will do enough to keep the defense honest and let Brett Favre make the necessary throws.

Watch for Percy Harvin’s availability in this game. If he plays, I can see him causing a lot of trouble for an undisciplined Ravens secondary.

An emotional Ravens team should have the lead at halftime, but the Vikes rally late to win.

 

Giants @ Saints

The Giants have a great offensive line and I see them trying to establish their dominance at the very start. Brandon Jacobs has been frustrated with his performance, and this would be a great game to show everyone he’s still a playmaker.

Of all the defenses in the league, the Giants seem to be the best suited to challenge the Saints explosive offense.

Drew Brees is excellent at recognizing the blitz and making opposing defense pay for bring the pressure. The Giants are great at pressuring quarterbacks (14 sacks) and only use their front four.

The Saints have a solid offensive line, but if Usi Umenyiora and Justin Tuck get consistent pressure, Brees will have trouble finding the open receiver.

I see the power running game and defensive line winning this one for the Giants.

 

Panthers @ Buccaneers

If there’s any game for Carolina’s run attack to get going, this is the one. The Bucs have a horrible run defense and have given up an average of 152 yards per game.

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written on October 17, 2009 Preview/Prediction

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