Last week's record: 10-4
Overall record: 54-22
Lock of the Week: 4-for-5
Houston (2-3) @ Cincinnati (4-1): Cincy is coming off of another big win as they come home to face the Texans. After their big victory over Pittsburgh in Week Three, they almost had a letdown at Cleveland. This is another trap game for the Bengals. That's not to say that the Texans are as bad as Cleveland, but they're not the Steelers or the Ravens. Look for Houston to put up good numbers on offense and do just enough on "D" to get a huge road win.
Houston wins, 24-22
Detroit (1-4) @ Green Bay (2-2): The Lions have looked considerably better this year than they did at any point last year. The Packers have looked better on defense, but they haven't been able to protect Aaron Rodgers at all. Some of that is due to injuries, but they must do a better job than they've done in their first four games. Green Bay should come out rejuvenated and put on a nice offensive show for the home crowd to get a divisional win.
Green Bay wins, 31-17
Baltimore (3-2) @ Minnesota (5-0): The Ravens started out the season on fire, but have since cooled off. Because of that, the next month is crucial for them. They have the Vikes, a bye, Denver, and then their second game with Cincy. They need a win here.
Personally, I think Minnesota is a tad overrated, but they're still a very good team. The key for Baltimore will be to play much better defense than they have so far. The Ravens will be upset at how their last couple of games have ended and they'll take it out on Minnesota and hand them their first loss.
Baltimore wins, 29-26
New York Giants (5-0) @ New Orleans (4-0): The Giants finally get out of the JV part of their schedule and have a big game against the Saints. The Saints' defense has been ball-hawking all year and if they are going to be successful against the Giants, they have to continue that. However, I really like the Giants here. If they execute, they should win.
The one thing that can derail the Giants in this game is their receivers. They've looked much better thus far than most thought they would, but this is the first good team they've faced. How they handle everything will be big in determining who wins.
New York Giants win, 20-16
Cleveland (1-4) @ Pittsburgh (3-2): The Browns are coming off a pathetic performance and now face a team that they've had very minimal success against over the last several years. Pittsburgh's offense is quietly becoming pretty good and Troy Polamalu is coming back so the Steelers should win this easily.
On another note, Aaron Smith went down for the year last week and while the effects probably won't be felt in this game, it will be huge for the rest of the year. Smith is ridiculously underrated and when he went down two years ago, the run defense fell apart. Pittsburgh must do a better job of accommodating this time around.
Pittsburgh wins 38-7
Carolina (1-3) @ Tampa Bay (0-5): Carolina continues its quest to .500 this week and they should get one step closer this week with a win over the Bucs. I think that the most interesting part of this game will be whether or not Josh Freeman will get his shot. The Bucs will probably be 0-6 after this game and have the Pats next week. Does 0-7 constitute bringing the rook in?
Carolina wins, 20-10
Kansas City (0-5) @ Washington (2-3): The Chiefs came pretty close to pulling off an upset last week, but in coming up short, they're still searching for their first win. That means that Washington is the perfect opponent as they've given three teams their first wins this year. The Redskins just seem to be falling apart, while the Chiefs have actually played decently all year, just unable to get a win. They will get their first this year and continue the Washington's slide.
Kansas City wins, 17-14
St. Louis (0-5) @ Jacksonville (2-3): This may end up being one of the Rams' best chances to get a win this year. Unfortunately for them, I think the Jags win this one big. They got embarrassed last week in Seattle and Maurice Jones-Drew let his teammates know it. I think the rest of the team takes that as a challenge and they win big here to get back on track.
Jacksonville wins, 32-11
Philadelphia (3-1) @ Oakland (1-4): Until Oakland gets someone other than JaMarcus Russell under center, they will not have much success at all. When receivers are constantly having balls thrown in the ground, they begin to lose confidence and that's contagious. The Eagles will pick this team apart and win easily.
Philly wins, 44-14 (Lock of the Week)
Arizona (2-2) @ Seattle (2-3): This is a big game in terms of how things might shake out in the NFC West. The Niners have beaten everybody in their division, so the loser of this one may have to concentrate exclusively on a wild card. Both are coming off of victories, but this one will boil down to which team plays like they should play; by that I mean both teams have been inconsistent thus far. Whichever team plays the way they are capable of playing will win. In this case, it will be the Cards.
Arizona wins, 18-16
Tennessee (0-5) @ New England (3-2): The Titans were simply not competitive last week against Indy. That is tough to change in one week, especially when your next opponent is the Pats. New England had too many fundamental breakdowns last week and I look for them to turn that around this week.
New England wins, 27-13
Buffalo (1-4) @ New York Jets (3-2): This one will be all Jets defense. They had their first bad game last week in Miami and Rex Ryan let them know. The offense will have problems going against a decent Bills defense and their receivers are banged up. The Jets' defense will swallow up the Bills offense, where things just are not clicking.
New York Jets win, 17-3
Chicago (3-1) @ Atlanta (3-1): Jay Cutler has been very good since his disaster game at Green Bay weeks ago. Now he and his team go into another tough building to face a very good team. This one will be a bit of a shootout, but Matt Ryan and his receivers will make a few more plays than Cutler and his receivers.
Atlanta wins, 28-21
Denver (5-0) @ San Diego (2-2): If the Broncos win this game, it may be a smooth ride to the division title (although after last year, I'm sure Broncos fans don't want to hear that). San Diego has looked below average on defense all year, which means that Philip Rivers will have to play great to win this game. Denver's defense should be able to slow down Rivers and the offense just enough to take a commanding lead in the division.
Denver wins, 23-17