This article updates my thought processes from my March article.
As the draft day gets closer, the shuffling near the top of the draft becomes more intense.
This year's draft class has two QBs that are near locks to be in the top eight. There is only one other NFL-quality QB in this draft, Kansas State grad Josh Freeman. The quality falloff behind him is precipitous.
As of today, it seems Detroit selects top-QB Matthew Stafford while Seattle, at No. 4, seems to be seriously infatuated with Mark Sanchez, unless the Jets trade far enough (KC at number three) to get him.
Jacksonville at eight, San Francisco at 12, and Washington at 13 would all love an upgrade at QB. There are only three to be had so if Sanchez is not the first target, that creates a trade up and he will likely be gone by pick five.
Josh Freeman now becomes the driver of the picks and trade possibilities until he is gone.
Too many teams need a QB upgrade for him to last beyond No. 10, so somebody will be calling Green Bay for the ninth pick to jump in front of San Francisco. If the Jets do not move up to get Sanchez, I fully expect the trade for the ninth pick to go to the Jets for pick No. 17, or the pick aquired in the trade from Buffalo.
With the serious "top run" on the three QBs and top three OTs, there could be a couple of other players on the board who might persuade the Packers to move down.
Receiver Michael Crabtree has the talent to be a game changer. His presence could make several teams try to trade up, but he is the kind of "value pick" that Thompson could not really let pass. That would make the Packers receivers scary-good. Oakland or Cleveland will likely grab him, though, unless they have traded down by that point.
Curry, LB, is the only other "consensus" player projected above No. 9. While he surely would fit with the Packers, I could not see ex-linebacker and Jacksonville coach Jack Del Rio letting him go past number eight.
I now get to the point where the player I previously said would already be gone remains on the board. BJ Raji, through the needs of the other teams forcing the draft, falls to the Packers at ninth.
Through all the wild speculation of him being gone as high as third to Kansas City or sixth to Oakland, the "other teams" address higher needs and Raji falls to the Packers at nine.
As of today, Freeman and Raji are the two players who could dictate a trade by the Packers from the ninth spot.
The other player I could see creating a trade would be up, not down. It would involve our No. 41 pick and extra to get right to the end of the first or ahead of Kansas City in the second to select a defensive end they covet.