Super Bowl XLVI Betting Guide: Beyond Point Spreads and Office Pools
The Super Bowl is the one sporting event of the year where you can spot all the degenerate gamblers. They’ll show up to watch the game with a folded-up piece of paper in their back pocket containing a list of a couple dozen prop bets.
These foolish bettors, who are looking to give away their bankroll, will wager on things ranging from how long it will take Kelly Clarkson to sing the national anthem to what color the Gatorade that's dumped on the winning coach will be. For the record, I have under 94 seconds and blue.
Safe to say, betting on the big game is much more than just the point spread and buying a couple boxes in the office pool at work. There are literally hundreds of prop bets out there, many of them that have absolutely nothing to do with the game itself.
Do you call heads or tails? This is your one chance of the year to throw down some loot on the opening coin-toss (though I’ll gladly flip a coin with you for $10 a pop all day long).
In any case, I’ve taken a fine-toothed comb through the pages and pages of listed prop bets and found a handful of diamonds in the rough. Some of them are educated guesses and some of them are completely random; but hey, I’m feeling lucky.
My bookie will probably love me come Monday morning. If he can find me.
MVP: New England RB BenJarvus Green-Ellis (25/1)
If the Giants defense can establish a pass rush early, it’s possible that Green-Ellis will shoulder more of the load on offense for the Patriots as the game progresses. After all, he carried the ball 15 times for 68 yards and a score against the Ravens in the AFC title game. Plus, Green-Ellis has not fumbled the ball once in his entire NFL career, so you know Bill Belichick trusts him with the rock in big spots.
Yeah, Tom Brady at 7/5 is a much safer bet, but where’s the fun in that? I’ll take the running back and hope for 100 yards and a couple trips into the end zone. Risking $100 to win $2,500.
Will Kelly Clarkson forget or omit at least one word of the official US national anthem: YES (+250)
Doesn’t this always seem to happen? Risking $20 to win $50.
Will Madonna be wearing fishnet stockings at any point during the halftime show?: YES (-120)
Just because I’m a huge fan of fishnet stockings on women. Hotness. Though they’d definitely be hotter on Madonna if I was writing this 15 years ago. Still, at least now I’ll have a good reason to pay attention to the halftime show. Risking $60 to win $50.
How many times will Peyton Manning be shown on TV during the game?: OVER 3.5 times (-130)
Let’s think about this one for a second. The game is in Indianapolis, little brother Eli is playing, and speculation about Peyton's future has been a hot topic in the news lately. Yep, over 3.5 it is. Risking $65 to win $50.
What color will the Gatorade (or liquid) dumped on the winning head coach be?: Blue (10/1)
Wouldn't it just make sense that the Giants would have blue Gatorade? I figure I have a pretty good chance to take this one home if New York pulls off the upset—though Tom Coughlin was doused with a clear-colored beverage when the Giants won the Super Bowl four years ago (yes, it took me a while to find that photo). Hopefully they have a different equipment manager this time around. One with more fashion sense. Risking $20 to win $200.
Eli Manning total pass attempts: over 39.5 (-115)
Eli went to the air 58 times in the NFC title game against San Francisco and you’d better believe he’ll be attacking the Patriots through the air on Sunday—especially if the Giants are trailing in the second half. Risking $115 to win $100.
Eli Manning—exact number of TD passes: Three (+350)
He’s thrown for exactly three touchdowns in three of his last four games. Seems like we’re getting really good value with this one. Risking $50 to win $175.
Who will record more receptions—Victor Cruz or Wes Welker?: Welker (-150)
Cruz is fun, exciting, a terrific dancer and, like me, he's from Jersey. But come on, we’re talking about Wes Welker here. I’ll take Welker over anyone when it comes to catching passes. He’s done it 554 times since joining the Pats five years ago, easily the most in the NFL during that span. Risking $150 to win $100.
Will there be a defensive or special teams TD score in the game?: NO (-190)
There has only been one defensive or special teams touchdown through 10 games this entire postseason combined (none by either of these teams), so this is terrific value here. Risking $190 to win $100.
Will there be overtime?: NO (-1000)
There has never been an overtime game in Super Bowl history. I’ll take my chances. Of course I probably just jinxed myself (big time). Risking $200 to win $20.
Total number of players to have a passing attempt: over 2.5 (+270)
This is a lock if either Brady or Manning suffers an injury, and I can also cash in with some kind of gadget play. Not likely to happen but I am getting almost 3-1 for my money. Plus, I get to root for a quarterback to get hurt. That should be fun. Risking $20 to win $54.
Zoltan Mesko—longest punt of the game: over 53.5 yards (-115)
I’m not even sure which team this dude punts for, but he’s got a hell of a name! Go, Zoltan! Risking $23 to win $20.
Errol Krupiarz is a Featured Columnist at Bleacher Report and also runs his own sports betting blog at WiseGuySports.com. Follow him on Twitter: @WiseGuyErrol
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