NFL Week 17: Beating the Spread

Jeremy KaufmanSenior Analyst IDecember 27, 2008

Here is my analysis of the betting lines for all Week 17 games in the NFL:


1)     Oakland Raiders (+13) vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-13)

The Oakland Raiders won’t win, but they’ll keep it close enough to come within the generous 13-point spread.

Winner: Oakland Raiders (+13)


2)     Detroit Lions (+10.5) vs. Green Bay Packers (-10.5)

The Green Bay Packers will blow out the Lions, officially leaving Detroit with a winless season.

Winner: Green Bay Packers (-10.5)


3)     New York Giants (+7) vs. Minnesota Vikings (-7)

Even with their backups in the game, the Giants will do what it takes to put up some points on the Vikings.

Winner: New York Giants (+7)


4)     Chicago Bears (+3) vs. Houston Texans (-3)

The Bears will just barely come out on top here, with the help of the three points that they are receiving from the spread.

Winner: Chicago Bears (+3)


5)     Carolina Panthers (-3) vs. New Orleans Saints (+3)

The Panthers will dominate on the ground against the porous Saints’ run defense.

Winner: Carolina Panthers (-3)


6)     St. Louis Rams (+14) vs. Atlanta Falcons (-14)

It won’t be pretty, but the Rams will just barely get by with the help of the spread.

Winner: St. Louis Rams (+14)


7)     Kansas City Chiefs (+3) vs. Cincinnati Bengals (-3)

The Chiefs will win this game in a close one, although they may be able to pull away with this one without the help of their three-point spread.

Winner: Kansas City Chiefs (+3)


8)     Tennessee Titans (-3) vs. Indianapolis Colts (+3)

Each of these teams will likely be playing backups in the latter half of the game. However, it should be noted that the Titans' Vince Young isn’t too bad for a backup, thereby giving the Titans a slight edge in this one.

Winner: Tennessee Titans (-3)


9)     Cleveland Browns (+11) vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (-11)

Even with their large 11-point spread, the Browns won’t be able to hang with the dominant defense of the Steelers.

Winner: Pittsburgh Steelers (-11)


10) New England Patriots (-6) vs. Buffalo Bills (+6)

With the help of their six-point spread, the Bills will just barely overcome the superior New England Patriots football team.

Winner: Buffalo Bills (+6)


11) Dallas Cowboys (+1) vs. Philadelphia Eagles (-1)

Donovan McNabb will play with a chip on his shoulder against his former receiver, and as a result the Eagles, will end the Cowboys’ hope for a spot in the playoffs.

Winner: Philadelphia Eagles (-1)


12) Jacksonville Jaguars (+13) vs. Baltimore Ravens (-13)

The Ravens will win this game, but not by more than the 13 points that are being allocated to the Jaguars for the purposes of this bet.

Winner: Jacksonville Jaguars (+13)


13) Miami Dolphins (+3) vs. New York Jets (-3)

The Miami Dolphins will pull the upset and knock off the New York Jets, with or without the spread on their side.

Winner: Miami Dolphins (+3)


14) Seattle Seahawks (+7) vs. Arizona Cardinals (-7)

After putting forth a lackluster performance vs. the New England Patriots last week, the Cardinals will feel a sense of urgency in their play, and as a result they should come forth with a big game against the mediocre Seattle Seahawks.

Winner: Arizona Cardinals (-7)


15) Washington Redskins (+3) vs. San Francisco 49ers (-3)

The 49ers, under the leadership of the ever-motivational Mike Singletary, will muster up enough effort to overcome the Washington Redskins by more than the three-points that are being allocated to their opposition.

Winner: San Francisco 49ers (-3)


16) Denver Broncos (+8) vs. San Diego Chargers (-8)

If the Denver Broncos choose to rest their star players, they likely won’t have much of a shot in this one.

Winner: San Diego Chargers (-8)


    Report: Kendricks Has Surgery on Ankle

    Philadelphia Eagles logo
    Philadelphia Eagles

    Report: Kendricks Has Surgery on Ankle

    Curtis Crabtree
    via ProFootballTalk

    Report: Jets Closing in on Terrelle Pryor

    NFL logo

    Report: Jets Closing in on Terrelle Pryor

    Joseph Zucker
    via Bleacher Report

    Zay Jones Won't Face Charges for Naked, Confrontation

    NFL logo

    Zay Jones Won't Face Charges for Naked, Confrontation

    Timothy Rapp
    via Bleacher Report

    Repor: Mettenberger Signs Contract with Spring League

    NFL logo

    Repor: Mettenberger Signs Contract with Spring League

    Kyle Newport
    via Bleacher Report