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Panthers-Saints: A Must-Win for Both Teams

Matthew GilmartinOct 17, 2008

The New Orleans Saints will travel to Charlotte, NC to take on the Carolina Panthers on Sunday at Bank of America Stadium.ย 

The Saints (3-3)ย enter this game having beaten the Buccaneers, 49ers, and Raiders, and lost to the Redskins, Vikings, and Broncos. It's worth noting that the Saints haven't won outside of New Orleans this year.ย 

The Panthers (4-2) come into this game having beaten the Chargers, Falcons, Bears, and Chiefs, and lost to the Vikings and Buccaneers. The Panthers haven't lostย at home yet this year. Furthermore,ย the Panthers have outscored opponents 78-26 at Bank of America Stadium.ย 

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Drew Brees, who has beenย keeping the Saints from falling apart at the seamsย so far this year, will likelyย getย receiving threats Marques Colston and Jeremy Shockey back thisย week. Bothย had limited participation in practice today and areย listed asย probable.

Even without his top twoย targets, Brees hasย kept the Saints in contention inย the NFC South because of Reggie Bush'sย emergence as a Brian Westbrook-esque all-purpose yardage player, in addition toย his own leadershipย andย incredible ability to throw the perfect deep ball. He will only get better withย Colston and Shockey back.

However, the Panthers' suffocating pass defense, ranked No. 2 in the league,ย could be enough to slow even thisย pass attack down.ย ย 

Part ofย the reason for theย Panthers' pass defense'sย high ranking is their talented secondary, but the main reason for their great pass defense is defensive coordinatorย Mikeย Trgovac.ย 

Hisย agonizingly stubborn playcallingย tendencies lean heavily towards protecting against the deep ball, which the Saintsย absolutely love to throw andย have the most success with. Don't be surprised if the Panthersย shut downโ€”or at least greatly reduceโ€”the effectiveness of the Saints' passย attack.ย ย 

Thisย matchup between the Saints' pass offense and the Panthers' pass defense will be an epic one.ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย 

As for the New Orleans run offense, I don't expect it to beย much of an issue. The Panthers may onlyย be ranked 15th in the league in rush defense, and they may haveย allowedย Bucs RB Warrick Dunnย to run for 115 yards last week,ย but they've heldย L.T., Matt Forte, Adrian Peterson, Michael Turner, and Larry Johnson to under 100 yards rushing.ย 

That's a stout rush defense if ever there was one.

The Panthers haveย been a highly ironic offensive team this year.

Theyย made a lot of moves in the offseason to bolster theย ineffective rushing attack fromย 2007, including bulking up on the offensive line and draftingย power back Jonathan Stewart. They alsoย brought backย receiver Muhsin Muhammad, who was released by the Bears. But the running game was what the front office really focused on improving.

Yet, at this point in the season, the Panthers' pass offense has beenย superior toย theย rush offense. The passing game ranks 14th in the league, while the rushing game ranks 19th in the league. This week should be no different, given one thing.

The Saints rankย 21st inย the NFL in pass defense. Most of that is because theyย can'tย defend the deep ball. New Orleans' passย "D"ย has allowed a league-worst 21 passย completions of 20 yards or more. That's as bad as it getsย before you hit Detroit Lions territory.ย 

Because of the Saints' difficulty of handlingย long passes, look forย receivers Steve Smith and Muhsin Muhammad to have field days, but Smith in particular, due to his ability to create separation for longer plays with hisย breakneck speed.ย ย ย ย ย 

Theย battle between the Panthers' rush offense and the Saints' rushย defense isย a toss-up. If anything, the Saints have the advantage becauseย they've heldย their last two opponents to a combined 2.69 yards per carry. Thisย run defense is stifling right now.ย ย 

There's no reason why this trend won't continue, as the Panthers have two starting offensive linemenโ€”center Ryan Kalil and right tackle Jeff Otahโ€”out with injuries this week. That means another week ofย unpredictabilityย andย player shuffling on the offensive line, and the result should be a weak Panthers run offense.

This game will certainly be hotly contested. The Panthers need this win to stay in the race for first place in the division, and the Saints need this win to avoid digging themselves into a hole that they'll be trying to make up until December.

As if the division implications weren't enough to put this contest in the "Game of the Week" tier, it will be an ultimate battle of potent pass offense against suffocating pass defense.ย 

It doesn't get any better than this. One of the reasons we love the NFL is because there are potentially epic games like this one every week.

This NFL/World Cup Stat Is Wild ๐Ÿคฏ

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