Liver's 2008 NFL Playoff Picks: Divisional Round

This is bar none, or in my case, bar full, the BEST weekend of the playoffs.

All four games should be entertaining through the fourth quarter—at least. Strange how history says that at least one or two teams will get drilled here.

In any event, the beer and whiskey will be flowing...and all will be right with the world. I'll be tailgating at Texas Stadium at noon and trying to nail every girl I can before kickoff.

If only every weekend could be like this one.

Of course it goes without saying that the following picks AGAINST THE SPREAD are for RECREATIONAL USE ONLY. Only Britney Spears, Paris Hilton, Lindsay Lohan, Kiefer Sutherland, Roger Goodell, and Travis Henry's nine kids and nine mommas would be drunk enough to question the Esteemed Liver's picks.

Last week’s record: 2-1-1


Saturday, January 12th
 

Seattle (+8) at Green Bay

Mike Holmgren and Matt Hasselbeck return to their former home—and site of the infamous “We want the ball and we’re gonna score” bit Hasselbeck threw out the last time these two teams met in the playoffs.

I think we all remember how that turned out.

Ironically, with two of the NFL's better offenses squaring up here, defense will decide the winner. Seattle’s D was menacing against the Redskins last week, but I doubt they’ll have the same success against the Packers.

Plus, the Seahawks are a bad road team.

Pick: Green Bay
 

Jacksonville (+13) at New England

This is a much tougher game for the Pats than the spread would indicate—and is the dream matchup for those wanting to see New England tested.

David Garrard didn’t play especially well last week, but his 4th-and-2 scramble at the end of the game will live in playoff lore.

The Pats only weakness?

Stopping the run.

The Jags greatest strength, outside of their defense?

The running duo of Fred Taylor and Maurice Jones-Drew.

The key matchup, though, will be the Pats passing game against the Jags secondary. In the end, I don’t see the Jags being able to match the Pats point for point.

Pick: Jacksonville

 

Sunday, January 13th
 
Do you like your Manning in the morning or the afternoon?
 

San Diego (+8 1⁄2) at Indianapolis

A rematch of one of the most whacked-out games of the year, from Week 10, when the Chargers BARELY beat the Colts and forced Peyton Manning into SIX INTs.

While it’s doubtful that Manning will play that badly again, the Chargers have always feasted on Peyton with a vicious pass rush.

But it's hard to believe the Chargers defense will post a repeat performance of that earlier game.

Remember that the Colts were banged up...and were still within an Adam Vinatieri chip shot of winning it outright.

The Colts will load up the box with Defensive Player of the Year Bob Sanders, thus daring the inconsistent Philip Rivers to throw the ball against a superb Indy secondary. If Rivers doesn't have Antonio Gates at his disposal, it could be a long day for the Chargers.

Pick: Indy
 

N.Y. Giants (+7 1⁄2) at Dallas

I’m trying to enjoy this week. I really am.

My team is in a divisional playoff game at home, and is the No. 1 seed in its conference. Most fans dream of this.

That said...this game worries the piss out of me AND my friends who are Cowboys fans.

My friend Brian from Austin said it best in a text message he sent me a few days ago.

“Cowboys don’t act like they care. Romo and Jessica in Cancun. Witten muttering that hopefully they won’t lose. Don’t like it. Winners don’t say that shit.”

Amen, my friend.
 
If the 'Boys do lose—BELIEVE ME, Romo will be hung up on a cross for taking that ill-timed vacation.

You don’t see Tom Brady or Peyton Manning taking vacations right now, do you?

The Cowboys finished December at 2-2—and it would've been 1-3 had the Lions just fallen on a fumble. That’s another December collapse in my mind. This team hasn’t looked sharp since the second half of the Green Bay game on November 29th.
 

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