Virtually every mock draft at this point has the Saint Louis Rams picking Ndamukong Suh first overall. The other mocks have the Rams selecting a Quarterback either Sam Bradford or Jimmy Clausen. Even some predict the Rams selecting Gerald McCoy who is also a Defensive Tackle. This means that it is highly likely the Rams will select a Defensive tackle. But is that the correct decision?
There have been three Defensive Tackles taken first overall in the last 20 years. None of these players have lived up to their expectations.
Russell Maryland: He went to the Pro Bowl in 1993 for the Cowboys, but left the team in 1995. He then went on to play for the Raiders and Packers but never had the success people expected. 10 seasons, five with the team who drafted him, and one Pro Bowl is far from good value for first overall.
Steve Emtman: Suffered through injuries his whole career. He only played for six seasons and never made the Pro Bowl. Played only three years for the colts and had a scant three sacks.
Dan Wilkinson: He had the longest career out of these three picks, he played for 13 years. Although he played for 13 years he never made the Pro Bowl. He had pretty good success in four years with the Bengals, who drafted him. But he never had the success expected from him.
Glen Dorsey: Not a No. 1 pick but a top five pick. So far his career has been an complete disappointment. In two seasons he only has two sacks, hardly what the Chiefs were hoping for.
In past years drafting a Defensive Tackle first overall has never worked out. None of the players went on to have successful and long careers. Defensive Tackle is not an impact position like a franchise quarterback is. If a team does draft a Tackle they better hope he is an incredible player.
If all I have said does not scare Ram fans there is more. Saint Louis recently selected a Defensive End second overall, and thus far that pick has not panned out. Does the organization want to risk having a first overall and second overall Defensive Lineman and have neither produce? The Jury is still out on Chris Long, but so far he has been a disappointment. He only has nine sacks through two seasons. This is a solid start to a career for the average pick, but not for the second overall pick.
So should the Rams select Ndamukung Suh? If they do they will be risking picking a bust like the every other DT taken first overall has turned out to be. Even if he is not a bust, he will not be able to make the immediate impact a quarterback could. If the Rams could stumble upon another Peyton Manning they would be immediate contenders in the NFC west. Peyton Manning literally shaped the Colt's franchise. They would never have won the Super Bowl without Manning.
Defensive Tackle might seem like the right pick for the Rams, but the risks outweigh the potential benefits.