Free NFL Picks: Week 15

WesAnalyst IDecember 16, 2009

FOXBORO, MA - SEPTEMBER 14:  Brandon Meriweather #31 of the New England Patriots gets tangled up with Lee Evans #83 of the Buffalo Bills on September 14, 2009 at Gillette Stadium in Foxboro, Massachusetts. (Photo by Elsa/Getty Images)
Elsa/Getty Images

The best cappers in the world play systems and they don't force picks.

This is why I am dishing out free NFL picks and sit with a 38-38 record.

It's okay fellow degenerates. I know you are looking for a free pick here and free pick there. The search is finally over and as I have a system that is hitting over the 60 percent clip and it does not involve fading my picks.

Review all divisional games this week and find out if the road team covered in the first meeting. If the road team covered in the first matchup, then bet them as the home team no matter what the line is.

That's right. Have complete and utter disregard for the number and follow the system to victory.

Road teams that covered as a favorite or dog are currently 11-6 ATS. This means teams are covering 64 percent of the time. If I had a winning percentage like that I would currently sit at 49-29 and you would be paying me for picks.

Well let's just say I haven't even sniffed a record like that since the beginning of the year and if someone paid me for a pick I would go to jail for robbery.

The good news is that four games fit the system and they are the only games I am going to pick.


Jacksonville (+3) vs. Indianapolis

This game is perfect for the Jaguars.

You catch a Colts team that can't decide what to do with the rest of their regular season against a Jaguars squad that must win the game to save their season.

So do you go with an undecided team or a desperate team?

I will take the desperate team playing at home and catching points.

And don't forget that Jacksonville also covered the number the first time around against the Colts.

Jaguars 24 - Colts 20


Buffalo (+7) vs. New England

The Bills went into Foxboro on Monday night in week one and stole defeat from the jaws of victory.

To make things even better you are getting points against a team in disarray, and only 1-5 record on the road this year with the lone win coming against Tampa Bay in London.

And can Buffalo change their uniformas back to the old threads? The new unis give me headaches.

Buffalo 23 - New England 17


Denver (-14) vs. Oakland

Look, we all hear about Tiger so let's use a little analogy here.

Imagine the Broncos are Tiger Woods.

Now imagine the Oakland Raiders are one his mistresses.

Got it?

Okay. Here we go.

Tiger had his way with a mistress; much like Denver had its way with Oakland on the road. Now Denver gets to go at it again and this time things are gonna get a little kinky with homefield advantage.

Uh oh.

Denver 48 - Oakland 14


Washington (+3) vs. New York Giants

The Redskins are playing their best football of the year as they pushed the Cowboys, Eagles, and Saints to the brink. Then they go out to the West Coast and gave a beat down to a Raiders team that knocked off the Steelers the week before.

Meanwhile you have a Giants team that has been outscored 64-23 in its last two road games.

Do you really want to lay points with that kind of team?

More importantly, do you want to bet against the system?

I didn't think so and neither do I.

Redskins 27 - Giants 19