How Will Jim Caldwell Deal with Perfection?
As the Colts travel down to Jacksonville for a Thursday night showdown with the playoff-hungry Jaguars, the debate over who shouldย rest and whoย should play the remaining three games on the schedule will rage onย around the NFL.
The home win over the Broncos on Sunday, of course,ย secured home field advantage throughout the AFC playoffs for Indianapolis, who's been in this situation twice before (2005 and 2007) under Tony Dungy. But never has Jim Caldwell experienced the chase for perfection and been forced to make such a critical decision as the head man.
Caldwell, who has the NFL record for most consecutive wins by a rookie head coach to startย a season,ย will face burning questions in theย following weeksย over how he's going to deal with his star quarterback,ย Peyton Manning, and other key starters.
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For a team that clinches that coveteย home field advantage, it becomesย a delicate balance between resting players to prevent or heal injuries and playingย startersย to keep sharp.ย The wave ofย momentum thatย 22 straightย victories hasย produced for theย Coltsย also weighs heavily in the decision.
In the two previous season, Indy'sย shown a strong tendency to sit players in favor of rest for the playoffs. In both 2005 and 2007, however, the choice by Dungy resulted in early exits with gut-wrenching losses at home to Pittsburgh and San Diego, respectively.
With Caldwellย nowย calling the shots as the new head man, the franchiseย ought to have learned from its past experiences.
Given that there'll be a month break between now and their first playoff bout, the Colts have to give starters quality game action down the stretchโat the very least a half for the likes ofย Manningโto prevent the rust that's burned the Colts on two occasions. ย ย
Two yearsย ago, when the Patriots were chasing perfection, head coach Bill Belichick, you would have to say, took an unconventional approach to the stretch drive and it seemed to pay off, despite the fact New England lost in the most important game of the year.
When there was a serious chanceย his teamย would run the table andย post the unprecedentedย 16-0 mark, Belichick played all his starters.ย He desperately wanted toย etch his place inย NFL history as the only coach to leadย his teamย to a perfectย record under the 16-gameย schedule.
Evenย pivotal Tom Brady got the start in the Patriots'ย final two games, even after clinching home field in Week 15 with a record-tying win overย the Jets.
The decision didn't result in any significant injuries and only put New England's potent offense in the recordย books for most pointsย in a single season (589) and most TD passes.ย In the season finale against the Giants, Brady threw hisย 50th touchdown of the 2007 season to Randy Moss, who fittingly caught his record-breaking 23rd TD reception on the same play.ย
To the contrary,ย Indianapolis has historically taken the more conventional path of resting players, especially with a more conservative coach in Dungy at the helm.
In 2005, the Colts jumped out to an identical 13-0 record, clinching home field throughout the same week after a 26-14 victory in Jacksonville, coincidentally.
Whileย Dungy elected toย play most of his startersย against San Diego the following Sunday, theyย dropped their first game of the season at the old RCA Dome.
The weight of the perfect season subsided, and the Colts' head coach made the executive decision ofย benching most of his startersย in a Christmas Eve showdown withย Seattle in the Pacific Northwest. Indianapolis lost itsย second in a row against the Super Bowl-bound Seahawks and were reeling after winningย the first 13 contests.
A win over Arizona closed outย an impressiveย 14-2 regular season mark, but Manning was only under center for the first possession.
By the time the Colts faced a meaningful gameโa divisional matchup with the sixth-ranked Pittsburgh SteelersโManning hadn't played a full game for over three weeks, since the Chargersย defeat. It showed in the divisional playoff game at home, as Indy disappointed the home crowd with theย 21-18 upset loss.
Two years after the debacleโand only a season removed fromย the franchise's first Super Bowl titleโthe Coltsย conducted business in an eerily similar fashion after a quick 7-0 start.
They won six of their last seven games to finish 13-3 and secured a first-round bye, and while Dungy chose not to sit outย playersย until the season finale against Tennessee, the same result ensued. Indy wasย once again ousted in the divisional roundย by a red-hot Chargers teamย that won in the last-ever game played at the RCA Dome.ย
A trend that's seen theย Indianapolis clinch home field every two seasonsย has come to lightย in 2009. This season, it's now Caldwell, as a first-year NFL head coach, who has the dubiousย task of choosing whether to sit or play his starting quarterback as well as other key startersย on the Colts' roster.
He will likely go down the path of his predecessor, Dungy, but has said this week he'll field "healthy" starters on Thursday against the Jaguars. It's a philosophy that's foreign to the Colts organization, but one that'll be crucial toย a deep playoff run in January.ย Recent history tell us thatย Manning should beย taking snapsย the rest ofย the seasonโbecause nothing compares to strapping up the pads andย playing at game speedย every Sunday.ย ย ย ย ย

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