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Last week's record: 9-4
Overall record: 73-30
Lock of the Week: 5-for-7
Houston (4-3) @ Buffalo (3-4): Buffalo's defense has looked great against the pass, but they've played against a shaky rookie and a veteran with no confidence. Matt Schaub has played better than both of those quarterbacks this year and his offense should be able to move the ball, especially on the ground. Buffalo's offense will not be able to keep pace.
Houston wins, 27-16
Cleveland (1-6) @ Chicago (3-3): After looking as atrocious as the Bears looked last week, they need a good performance. They will be at home and against a really bad team, so expect them to go up big early. As always, the Browns' offense will be stagnant, which means this will be over by halftime.
Chicago wins, 32-12
Seattle (2-4) @ Dallas (4-2): Dallas looked the best they've looked in a long time last week. This game should continue that trend. Seattle is once again riddled with injuries, especially on the defensive side of the ball. That doesn't bode well for them against a very good rushing attack and a red-hot receiver. The Seahawks will have to put up a lot of points to have any chance.
Dallas wins, 34-21
St. Louis (0-7) @ Detroit (1-5): Will anybody watch this game? Detroit is bad and St. Louis is horrible. Matthew Stafford will probably be back for Detroit and he was playing well before his injury, which should give a boost to the Lions, who were actually looking like an NFL team before he got hurt. That will be enough to give the Lions the win.
Detroit wins 19-10
Minnesota (6-1) @ Green Bay (4-2): Stats, momentum, and all other numbers go out the window in a game like this. This will be pure emotion and determination. In the first game between these two this year, Minnesota's front seven were all over Aaron Rodgers all game and Brett Favre played nearly flawless. Minnesota barely hung onto win that game. This is at Lambeau and there will be a playoff-like atmosphere. Green Bay needs this more in the standings and they will win it because they will want it more.
Green Bay wins, 30-27
San Francisco (3-3) @ Indianapolis (6-0): Alex Smith looked great last week in relief, but Indy is a bad opponent for him to have in his first start back. He'll probably be playing from behind most of the game, which will cause Smith to force passes. Granted he was behind last week, but Indy will not let up like Houston did.
Indy wins, 33-18
Miami (2-4) @ New York Jets (4-3): If the Jets are going to win, they have to stop the Wildcat. They had a lot of trouble stopping it a few weeks ago in Miami and judging by how Rex Ryan reacted after the game, the defense focused solely on stopping it. That's why Miami will have Chad Henne come out and throw the ball more than he normally does. If Ted Ginn, Jr. can hold onto the ball, it should throw the Jets off enough to get a big win.
Miami wins, 28-20
Denver (6-0) @ Baltimore (3-3): Baltimore really needs this game. Prior to their bye week, they lost three tough games against three pretty good teams. This will be a low-scoring game, but Denver now has a better defense than Baltimore, so they get the edge. If Baltimore can keep it close in the first half and somehow get seven to 10 points in the second half than they will have a very good chance. But Denver has not given up many second half points this season.
Denver wins, 26-16
Jacksonville (3-3) @ Tennessee (0-6): Vince Young will be back under center for the Titans in what will be a great opportunity for him and the team. Most will be watching the Green Bay-Minnesota game, so Young won't be in the spotlight and Tennessee is getting an inconsistent Jaguars team. Tennessee will finally get a "W" and Young will play relatively well.
Tennessee wins, 19-13



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