Here is why I don't think the Dolphins are going to win the AFC East—they won the division on a tiebreaker, and other teams have gotten better while the Dolphins remained the same team they were last year.
I think Chad Pennington was a fluke last year—no offense to him. I just don't think he is that good.
They will give the rest of the NFL a good fight, but I just don't think they are so good.
The Bills have gotten much better this year. With new wide receiver Owens and a good running back in Marshawn Lynch, the Bills have given Trent Edwards more time and room to play his game. With two very good wide receivers as TO joins Lee Evans, there will be a lot of options for the Bills offense.
The thing that will hold back the Bills is the defense. Last year they allowed 342 points to their opponents. This year in the draft, they picked up DE Aaron Maybin to help on that side.
I think this team will be better than the Jets and Dolphins. They have better wide receivers than both teams.
It looks like the only thing the Jets have better than the Bills is a good running back and defense. I don't see the Jets being better than the Bills since the offense doesn't have enough to go all the way.
The only AFC East team that has not been written about in this article are the Pats. They look like the easy pick. With Brady back, this team should be one of the best in the NFL.
But can we know if Brady is really back? And is he still the real Tom Brady?
I know some of you think I am crazy for even thinking that the man is not back to his old self that won 18 games two seasons ago.
But sometimes, players with injures don't come back as good as they left.
Just look at Brady last year. He came back and was good until the first game of the season before he went down due to an injury that came back from the Super Bowl.
So the pick is harder than it looks.
But my pick is still the Pats.
Don't get me wrong—I wouldn't trade any good players for him in my fantasy team. But the risk is small, and he is looking okay.
I think most of the race will be between the Bills and the Pats. I don't see the Jets and Dolphins having very good seasons.
It's hard for me to say, since I root for both teams, but I write it as I see it.
So my AFC prediction is:
With Tom Brady back, the team will be amazing and is one of the best in the NFL.
With TO on the team, they have two very good receivers and a good running back to give their QB more options on the field.
Sanchez hasn't proven himself yet, and without any good WR on their team, even if Sanchez is good, he can't do it alone.
Does anyone really think Pennington will be as good this year as he was last year? I think the answer is no. They have a good RB, but they are not so strong on WRs, and the QB is not too good.
Please tell me if you think I am right. I would love to get comments on this article.