Fantasy Football: Should You Sell High on Philip Rivers?
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San Diego Chargers quarterback Philip Rivers enters his Week 8 bye averaging 304.6 yards and 2.1 touchdowns. He has a 111.1 passer rating thanks to a 73.9 percent completion percentage and a mere five interceptions. Is it time to sell high on Rivers?
Rivers' numbers have been a little skewed due to three 400-yard games. While he is capable of turning in a monster day, he has thrown for 195, 184, 237 and 285 yards in his other four games.
Rivers has four games with multiple touchdown passes. Three of those came during a 400-yard day. He tossed four touchdowns in his 195-yard Week 1 performance against the Houston Texans. Rivers has been a little inconsistent.
In his four “good” games, Rivers has averaged 356.5 yards and three touchdown passes. In his three “bad” games, he averaged 235.3 yards and one touchdown. In almost half of his games Rivers has bounced between high-end QB1 status and QB2 status. His numbers as a whole look great though, which could help you move him.
But do you want to?
If you have a quarterback like Aaron Rodgers or Drew Brees on your roster it’s not a bad plan as they are every week starters that already had their bye.
Cam Newton, Robert Griffin III and Matt Ryan have also had their bye. Andrew Luck has his bye this week. They aren’t no-brainers like Rodgers or Brees, but can pretty much be trusted on a weekly basis. If you can strengthen another part of your roster, go for it.
I don’t think Rivers is going to crumble. He has a long track record of fantasy success. He struggled last year, but that is an outlier in the grand scheme of things.
Plus, his schedule is favorable. He has a pair of games against the Denver Broncos. They have the league’s worst pass defense at 319.9 yards allowed per game. Their offense is so potent, Rivers will have to air it out against them. They’ll likely drop both games, but Rivers will get his.
The Chargers also have the Washington Redskins and New York Giants on their schedule, which should prove to be favorable matchups. Plus the Oakland Raiders, who he torched for 411 yards in Week 5.
Rivers has a tough stretch between Weeks 11-13 where he faces the Miami Dolphins, Kansas City Chiefs and Cincinnati Bengals, but he has more favorable matchups than not.
If you can get a good deal for him now, go for it. If not, try again after Week 10 when he should be coming off two more solid efforts. Just make sure you get good value.
Also check out Lester's Legends Week 8 Fantasy Football Rankings.
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