Handicapping the 2013-14 NBA Rookie of the Year race before draft day might seem a little crazy.
There's a lot of guesswork to do about who will end up where, especially since the first pick of the draft may no longer be a foregone conclusion. It's a safe bet that if the top of the draft board is uncertain, so is the race for Rookie of the Year.
Still, even with a lot left to be decided, there are certain historical trends that can help us narrow in on realistic candidates. We know what things matter to voters, and we know what types of players have won in the past.
Ball-dominant guards (Chris Paul, Brandon Roy, Derrick Rose, Tyreke Evans, Kyrie Irving, Damian Lillard) have won six of the last eight years, and in the last 25 years, no player taken out of the top-10 has won the award.
With those guiding principles in mind, here are the most likely 2013-14 NBA Rookie of the Year candidates.