NHL Playoff Preview: Round One

Thayne Hallyburton makes his first-round NHL playoff picks, in a bid to win the first ever Bleacher Report NHL Playoff Showdown.

by Thayne Hallyburton (Scribe)

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April 07, 2008

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NHL, New Jersey Devils, New York Rangers, Philadelphia Flyers, Pittsburgh Penguins, Ottawa Senators, Washington Capitals, Detroit Red Wings, Nashville Predators, Calgary Flames, Colorado Avalanche, Minnesota Wild, Anaheim Ducks, San Jose Sharks, Dallas Stars, Joe Thornton, Preview/Prediction

The 2008 National Hockey League playoffs will kick off Wednesday night with 8 teams taking to the ice.

This is the time of year that the players play for the love of the game. There are no more pay cheques coming, only a gruelling two-month test of attrition, commitment and ability.

A few of us Bleacher Report regular hockey contributors are engaging in a friendly competition. In each of the four rounds we will write a story revealing our picks, including the amount of games it will take our picks to win the series in. The winner will be announced at the conclusion of the playoffs.

The playoff match-ups breakdown like so:

 

Eastern Conference 

Montreal vs. Boston

A match-up of two original six teams and one of the oldest rivalries in sport will be renewed.

In goal, the two teams are even, with Carey Price, the rookie, in net for the Habs and Tim Thomas in goal for the Bruins. The defensive edge has to be given to Boston as Zdeno Chara is a beast and will see 30+ minutes a night.

Up front the edge easily goes to the Habs as Kovalev, Koivu and Higgins will carry the offensive load. The Bruins will get Patrice Bergeron back, but his condition and effectiveness is questionable at best. He has been out for too long to come back and be productive.

Season Series: 8-0 Montreal

Prediction: Montreal wins in 5 games.

 

Pittsburgh vs. Ottawa

This series will feature a pair of teams with scoring to burn, but big question marks in goal. The Senators will be without offensive juggernaut, Daniel Alfredsson and defensive specialist, Mike Fischer.

Pittsburgh will have more than enough offensive fire power in Marian Hossa, Sidney Crosby and Evgeni Malkin to take down the Sens in the first round. Marc-Andre Fleury will be between the Penguin's pipes and if his play down the stretch is any indication, he will be fine. If Fleury were to falter, Ty Conklin has had an impressive season and is ready to step in.

Season Series: 3-1 Senators.

Prediction: Pittsburgh in 6 games

 

Washington vs. Philadelphia

Alexander Ovechkin and the Washington Capitals rode an impressive streak from the hiring of head coach Bruce Boudreau up until the playoffs seizing home ice advantage and a playoff spot from the Carolina Hurricanes.

The Caps have the edge in goal-tending, offence and defence over the Philadelphia Flyers and with the roll they are on, this will be a very tough team to stop. Mike Richards will have his hands full with Ovechkin, Backstrom, Semin and the rest of a fiery Capitals team. Cristobal Huet is a great addition to this team and the tandem of Huet and Kolzig will be very good.

Season Series: 2-2.

Prediction: Capitals in 6 games.

 

New Jersey vs. New York Rangers

The New Jersey Devils have a rookie head coach, play the most boring hockey in the NHL and have a very one-dimensional offense, but, they also have the best goalie to ever play the game in Martin Brodeur.

The Rangers are getting hot at the right time and Jaromir Jagr decided to start trying with 6 weeks to go. These are both great signs heading into the playoffs. The Rangers also boast one of the top goaltenders in the Eastern conference in Henrik Lundqvist.

In the end, the Rangers just have too much firepower and will overcome the Devils and Brodeur in a long series.

Season Series: 7-1 Rangers.

Prediction: Rangers in 6 games.

 

Western Conference

Detroit Vs. Nashville

This, on paper, is the easiest series to call. Nashville does not have the goal-tending, offense or defense that Detroit has; but don't tell them that.

Nashville have been the team on the outside looking in on most of predictions for this year's playoffs  but managed to sneak in on the heels of superb goal-tending by Chris Mason and Dan Ellis and play by Jason Arnott, JP Dumont and Alex Radulov.

Detroit should still easily handle Nashville, but Datsyuk and Zetterberg have to be better than they have been in past playoffs.

Season Series: 5-3 Red Wings.

Prediction: Detroit in 4 games.

 

San Jose vs. Calgary

This series has all the makings of being as good, or better than the previous ones between these two teams in the past. San Jose have been on fire since the trade deadline acquisition on Brian Campbell and Calgary has been far from it down the stretch, going 5-5 in their last 10 games.

Mikka Kiprusoff has been average this year, but we all remember the run he put together when the Flames went to the finals in 2004. He is still a great goalie and will look to regain that form.

Jarome Iginla will be his usual amazing self and Dion Phaneuf should be the modern-day Scott Stevens. The 7 vs. 2 series lends itself well to upsets and with the usual folding of Pat Marleau and Jon Cheechoo, the Flames should come out on top.

Season Series: 3-1 Flames.

Prediction: Flames in 7 games.

 

Minnesota vs. Colorado

The Wild find themselves in a peculiar place this year; ahead of the Colorado Avalanche in the standings. The Avs at one point were almost out of the race altogether, but played great down the stretch to get in.

The Wild play a suffocating defensive style of play and it takes speed to break that. The Avs have that speed in the young guys and captain Joe Sakic is still capable of turning the jets on.

The Wild may have home ice, but look for the same result, an Avalanche win--4 of them to be exact.

Season Series: 5-3 Wild.

Prediction: Avalanche in 6 games.

 

Anaheim vs. Dallas

Last year's Stanley Cup champions, the Anaheim Ducks boast the best defense corps in the NHL and a great, young offensive corps. Goal-tending in this series is interesting. J.S. Giguere is always a playoff juggernaut, but Dallas net-minder, Marty Turco is known as a choker in the post season.

Look for Scott Niedermayer, Chris Pronger, Mathieu Schneider and Francois Beauchemin to take control of the series. Todd Bertuzzi will crash the net at will and Teemu Selanne, Ryan Getzlaf and Corey Perry will provide the offense. The Ducks should easily move on.

Season Series: 5-3 Stars.

Prediction: Ducks in 5 games.

There are great match-ups in both conferences this year, even making this Toronto Maple Leaf fan interested.

I look forward to beating my fellow scribes in the inaugural Bleacher Report NHL playoff showdown.

The other competitors previews:

Derek Harmsworth

Danielle Marchell

Bryan Thiel---CLICK HERE

 

comments (7) write a comment »

  1. Are you outta your mind, dude? Have you ever seen a series the Sharks have played other than last year's against Detroit? How many things are wrong with your analysis of just that one series? Let me count the ways...
    1. Patrick (Patty is okay, Pat is not) Marleau led the league in playoff scoring in 2006 well into the Cup Finals even though he only played 11 games. Last year was a fluke, not "the usual folding"--he has been known as a clutch scorer his whole career.
    2. Jonathan (not Jon) Cheechoo was hurt last year, and while he does not have a resume of playoff accomplishments, that alone means you can't call it "the usual folding" there either. Plus, he is the third leading scorer in the league in the last three years after the All Star game, and late season heroics usually translate to the playoffs.
    3. The Sharks do not rely on two guys for their goals like a lot of the league. Jeremy Roenick was on the fourth line (and scratched for more than a dozen games) and scored 14. Therefore, even if those two players did the "UNusual folding" the Sharks could overcome.
    4. It's not the 2 v. 7 that lends to an upset, it's the 3 v. 6 that does.
    5. Dion Phaneuf is more akin to Rob Blake than Scott Stevens--Stevens did not have the offensive prowess Phaneuf does.
    Look, I'm not saying Calgary can't beat San Jose, but know your stuff--even Dick Cheney wouldn't give you a no-bid contract to do this level of analysis!

    1. I had no idea you are on a first name basis with San Jose players and know what they like to be called...and as far as my analysis, no I have not seen many games they play as I live near Toronto Canada...BUT, I do know player tendencies... Jon and Pat have had repeated bad playoffs and the biggest knock on big Joe is his playoff performances...

      As for your comments regarding my Phaneuf assessment...I think Stevens had a lil offensive touch in the middle of his career. Let's see Blake skate, and play defense like Phaneuf and Stevens...

      Season Team GP G A P +/- PIM PP SH GW GT Shots Pct
      1982-1983 Capitals 77 9 16 25 17 195 0 0 0 0 121 7.4
      1983-1984 Capitals 78 13 32 45 26 201 7 0 2 0 155 8.4
      1984-1985 Capitals 80 21 44 65 0 221 16 0 5 0 170 12.4
      1985-1986 Capitals 73 15 38 53 0 165 3 0 2 0 121 12.4
      1986-1987 Capitals 77 10 51 61 13 283 2 0 0 0 165 6.1
      1987-1988 Capitals 80 12 60 72 14 184 5 1 2 0 231 5.2
      1988-1989 Capitals 80 7 61 68 1 225 6 0 3 0 195 3.6
      1989-1990 Capitals 56 11 29 40 1 154 7 0 0 0 143 7.7
      1990-1991 Blues 78 5 44 49 23 150 1 0 1 0 160 3.1
      1991-1992 Devils 68 17 42 59 24 124 7 1 2 0 156 10.9
      1992-1993 Devils 81 12 45 57 14 120 8 0 1 0 146 8.2
      1993-1994 Devils 83 18 60 78 53 112 5 1 4 0 215 8.4
      1994-1995 Devils 48 2 20 22 4 56 1 0 1 0 111 1.8
      1995-1996 Devils 82 5 23 28 7 100 2 1 1 0 174 2.9
      1996-1997 Devils 79 5 19 24 26 70 0 0 1 0 166 3
      1997-1998 Devils 80 4 22 26 19 80 1 0 1 0 94 4.3
      1998-1999 Devils 75 5 22 27 29 64 0 0 1 0 111 4.5
      1999-2000 Devils 78 8 21 29 30 103 0 1 1 0 133 6
      2000-2001 Devils 81 9 22 31 40 71 3 0 2 0 171 5.3
      2001-2002 Devils 82 1 16 17 15 44 0 0 1 0 121 0.8
      2002-2003 Devils 81 4 16 20 18 41 0 0 2

      I have seen many jaded hockey minds up here in the great white north...I am pleased to see they even exist on the West Coast.

  2. Maybe someday when Phaneuf leaves the Flames he can get the same players that the Caps ended up getting for Stevens. With the help of Japersrink, one sees they got Sergei Gonchar and Brenan Witt, and traded another pick for a pick that turned into Matt Pettinger. Gonchar became Shaone Morrisonn and Jeff Schultz (and another prospect) and Witt is still on the team in the form of Semen Varlamov.
    Pettinger has morphed into one of my favorite players - Matt Cooke.

    There's some mileage. Think the Blues regret signing him, looking at that?

  3. Good job on making your case about Stevens vs. Blake: it was hard to line up all those stats because they shifted so that points are no longer beneath the P, for instance, but it looks like until the clutch-and-grab era (which his Devils benefitted from), he was productive offensively.

    I follow my team well enough to know that NEVER are they called Pat and Jon. Please call them by the names they prefer, lest I start calling Mats Matt or Tomas Kaberle Tom. And Patty/Patrick had 37 points in 30 games in the three post-seasons prior to last year. Cheech has 25 points in 39 post-season appearances despite playing with a concussion and groin injuries last year. Not bad for someone who is only in his fifth year. Joe was green in his first few appearances, played with torn cartilage in his ribs in 2004, and was on a choking team in Boston. Since joining us, he has 22 points in 22 games.

    Therefore, I bow to your superior knowledge of the Stevens vs. Blake comparison, but your playoff arguments about the Sharks have more holes in them than the nets do.

    And maybe I qualify as jaded because I am from the American Great White North: Wisconsin.

  4. Good job on making your case about Stevens vs. Blake: it was hard to line up all those stats because they shifted so that points are no longer beneath the P, for instance, but it looks like until the clutch-and-grab era (which his Devils benefitted from), he was productive offensively.

    I follow my team well enough to know that NEVER are they called Pat and Jon. Please call them by the names they prefer, lest I start calling Mats Matt or Tomas Kaberle Tom. And Patty/Patrick had 37 points in 30 games in the three post-seasons prior to last year. Cheech has 25 points in 39 post-season appearances despite playing with a concussion and groin injuries last year. Not bad for someone who is only in his fifth year. Joe was green in his first few appearances, played with torn cartilage in his ribs in 2004, and was on a choking team in Boston. Since joining us, he has 22 points in 22 games.

    Therefore, I bow to your superior knowledge of the Stevens vs. Blake comparison, but your playoff arguments about the Sharks have more holes in them than the nets do.

    And maybe I qualify as jaded because I am from the American Great White North: Wisconsin.

  5. Good job on making your case about Stevens vs. Blake: it was hard to line up all those stats because they shifted so that points are no longer beneath the P, for instance, but it looks like until the clutch-and-grab era (which his Devils benefitted from), he was productive offensively.

    I follow my team well enough to know that NEVER are they called Pat and Jon. Please call them by the names they prefer, lest I start calling Mats Matt or Tomas Kaberle Tom. And Patty/Patrick had 37 points in 30 games in the three post-seasons prior to last year. Cheech has 25 points in 39 post-season appearances despite playing with a concussion and groin injuries last year. Not bad for someone who is only in his fifth year. Joe was green in his first few appearances, played with torn cartilage in his ribs in 2004, and was on a choking team in Boston. Since joining us, he has 22 points in 22 games.

    Therefore, I bow to your superior knowledge of the Stevens vs. Blake comparison, but your playoff arguments about the Sharks have more holes in them than the nets do.

    And maybe I qualify as jaded because I am from the American Great White North: Wisconsin.

  6. Good job on making your case about Stevens vs. Blake: it was hard to line up all those stats because they shifted so that points are no longer beneath the P, for instance, but it looks like until the clutch-and-grab era (which his Devils benefitted from), he was productive offensively.

    I follow my team well enough to know that NEVER are they called Pat and Jon. Please call them by the names they prefer, lest I start calling Mats Matt or Tomas Kaberle Tom. And Patty/Patrick had 37 points in 30 games in the three post-seasons prior to last year. Cheech has 25 points in 39 post-season appearances despite playing with a concussion and groin injuries last year. Not bad for someone who is only in his fifth year. Joe was green in his first few appearances, played with torn cartilage in his ribs in 2004, and was on a choking team in Boston. Since joining us, he has 22 points in 22 games.

    Therefore, I bow to your superior knowledge of the Stevens vs. Blake comparison, but your playoff arguments about the Sharks have more holes in them than the nets do.

    And maybe I qualify as jaded because I am from the American Great White North: Wisconsin.

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