Houston Texans at New York Jets: Fantasy Football Preview

Chris Peterson@@ThePPRExpertsAnalyst IOctober 8, 2012

Arian Foster should have a big night against the Jets.
Arian Foster should have a big night against the Jets.Justin Edmonds/Getty Images

Although we have already seen some exciting action this week in the National Football League, there is one game left on the slate, as the (2-2) New York Jets play host to the (4-0) Houston Texans tonight at MetLife Stadium on Monday Night Football.

For those of you who own Houston Texans players such as Arian Foster, Andre Johnson, Matt Schaub, Owen Daniels and even Ben Tate, tonight should be a very good night.

Arian Foster, the top fantasy football option in this game, is averaging 20.2 fantasy points per game in standard point-per-reception scoring formats and should be able to reach or exceed that output tonight against the Jets, who allow the ninth-most fantasy points to running backs at 22.3 per game, according to ESPN.com.

Foster has gotten at least 24 carries in each of the first four games of the season, and in a game where the Texans should have the lead early and often, Foster should easily see 25 total touches. So he should have a solid outing against a Jets team that is coming off an embarrassing defeat at the hands of the 49ers a week ago.

Due to the way I expect this game to go, Tate also should be a decent fantasy option tonight if owners are in desperate need of a flex play. Tate has averaged 9.4 fantasy points per game this season, but that is mostly due to a 25.7-point outing against the Jags two weeks ago. I would not expect that tonight from Tate, but if he can get 10-15 carries, 10 fantasy points is certainly possible, especially if he can vulture a touchdown.

The Jets do allow the seventh-fewest fantasy points to wide receivers, but the Jets are now without Darrelle Revis and have not faced any quarterback or wide receiver as good as Schaub or Johnson.

It has been an up-and-down start for Johnson, who has had two solid outings with 15 and 25 fantasy points respectively against the Broncos and Dolphins, then less than eight points against both the Jaguars and Titans. Tonight, fantasy owners should expect a good night from Johnson with at least 80 yards receiving and a touchdown.

I also expect Schaub to throw for around 250 yards and two touchdowns, with one of those going to Daniels, who should garner at least 50 yards receiving.

On the other hand, if you have any Jets on your fantasy roster I would be very hesitant to play them tonight against a stingy Texans defense.

The Texans surrender only an average of 13.2 fantasy points per game to running backs and have allowed no rushing touchdowns yet this season, and they allowed just one receiving touchdown to a running back. This is not good news for Shonn Greene, who had 94 yards and a touchdown against the Bills in Week 1, then has proceeded to rush for fewer than 40 yards in his next three games.

Greene enters Week 5 ranked 38th among running backs in fantasy points in PPR leagues, and with the absence of any passing game, Greene should get stuffed again tonight. I would not play him unless you have absolutely no other playable options. He has been absolutely terrible recently, and that is being kind.

I would also stay away from Mark Sanchez, who will be without Santonio Holmes, Stephen Hill and Dustin Keller tonight. Plus, the Texans are giving up a ridiculous nine fantasy points per game to opposing quarterbacks, meaning Sanchez should not be in your lineup tonight under any circumstances.

Some of you might venture to play Tim Tebow, because rumor is that he will get more opportunities tonight than he has had in past weeks, and with the Jets so short on offensive firepower, who can blame them? Still, Tebow will not do enough to be playable in any fantasy league, so let's not go there.

All in all, I expect the Jets to try to turn this into an ugly game because, simply put, they may have the worst offense in the NFL. However, the Texans running game is outstanding, and once they have it established, Schaub will be able to take advantage of the play-action passing game, which will help open up the scoring for Houston.

My Prediction: Houston 34, New York Jets 13

Fantasy stats were provided by Four-downs.com