Jeremy Lin: Predicting Linsanity's Statistics in Houston

Pete Schauer@@Pete_SchauerCorrespondent IJuly 22, 2012

HOUSTON, TX - JULY 19: Jeremy Lin of the Houston Rockets displays his jersey during a press conference at Toyota Center on July 19, 2012 in Houston, Texas.  (Photo by Bob Levey/Getty Images)
Bob Levey/Getty Images

While the NBA season remains months away and the final rosters are unknown, one thing is for sure.

Jeremy Lin is back with the Houston Rockets after the New York Knicks chose not to match Houston's offer to the 2011-2012 sensation (via ESPN New York).

Lin literally came out of nowhere last season and helped New York make the postseason, averaging 14.6 PPG, 3.0 RPG, 6.2 APG and 3.6 turnovers per game while averaging 26.9 MPG in 35 total games for the Knicks.

I don't think there's any question that the starting PG job is Lin's, but how will he fare without Amar'e Stoudemire and Tyson Chandler in the pick-and-roll game?

Lin thrived in pick-and-roll situations in New York, which led to open layups, assists to big men or kick-outs to shooters on the wing, most of which the Rockets lack.

For now, here's a look at Houston's starting lineup:

PG Jeremy Lin
SG Kevin Martin
SF Chandler Parsons
PF Patrick Patterson
C Donatas Motiejunas


While the Rockets do boast some nice young talent in the form of Donatas Montiejunas, Terrence Jones, Jeremy Lamb and Royce White, their roster isn't looking too promising.  

Kevin Martin will most likely be Lin's go-to guy on the wing, but let's face it—he can't make it rain like Steve Novak did, and Motiejunas certainly isn't the force that either Stoudemire or Chandler is.

With that being said, I think that Lin's scoring will undoubtedly go up to somewhere around 17 PPG.

I see him playing somewhere between 30-35 minutes per game, especially if he becomes the Rockets' main source of offense.

As a member of the Knicks, he shot .446 from the field and .320 from three-point range, and I don't see those numbers fluctuating too much.

His role is going to increase in Houston, which means taking more shots, which probably means a lower FG percentage.

And with that increased offensive role comes a drop in assists and an increase in turnovers.

He no longer has all-stars like Carmelo Anthony, Stoudemire and Chandler by his side, and while I think his scoring will increase, I'm not sure there are enough playmakers around him to boost the rest of his statistics.


Final Prediction

  • 32.6 MPG
  • 17.6 PPG
  • 3.2 RPG
  • 5.9 APG
  • 4.1 TPG
  • .451 FG %
  • .326 3P%


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