Oakland Raiders: Why Team Will Really Regret Carson Palmer Trade in 2012
The Oakland Raiders are entering part two of their 2011 midseason acquisition of Carson Palmer. Palmer, who had retired after the Cincinnati Bengals would not trade or release him, was eventually traded to the Oakland Raiders who needed help at the quarterback position after Jason Campbell broke his collarbone.
The Raiders, who gave up their 2012 first-round draft pick and a conditional 2013 second-round draft pick that can turn into a first-round pick if the Raiders make it to the AFC Championship game in 2013. They better hope that Palmer will pan out for them in 2012.
However, Carson Palmer is not the same quarterback that he was in his early Cincinnati years, and he won’t perform at the level that the Raiders need him to. Here are reasons why the Raiders will truly regret the Carson Palmer trade in 2012.
Past His Prime
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Carson Palmer has completed nine years in his NFL career. From 2005-07, Palmer was one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL. He threw for 32, 28, and 26 touchdowns in those three years and only threw more than 13 interceptions once.
Then in 2008, Palmer battled with a sore elbow and it was discovered that Palmer would likely need Tommy John Surgery in order to heal a partially torn ligament and tendon in his elbow. Palmer decided not to undergo the surgery and to instead heal the injury with rest.
Since his injury, Palmer has never quite been the same quarterback. 2009 and 2010 were both average years for Palmer, who then announced his retirement after his request to be traded was denied.
Due to his injuries Palmer will never be the same quarterback he was in 2005, which was his best year. The Raiders will realize that the quarterback that they traded for is no longer the quarterback that he used to be.
Lack of Top Draft Picks
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The Raiders finished last season 8-8, after blowing a chance to win the AFC West after a New Year’s Day loss to the San Diego Chargers. There is no argument that the Raiders would have loved to have a first-round draft pick in 2012.
The Raiders finished 27th in the league in both opposing passing yards and rushing yards. New General Manager Reggie McKenzie would have loved to be able to draft a defensive player in the first round that could come in and immediately help the lackluster defense.
The draft is the most important step in building a solid team. If Carson Palmer had carried the Raiders to their first playoff appearance since 2002, the Raiders might have been happier to give up their first round draft pick in 2012.
The Raiders have numerous needs that they would have loved to fill with young talent, but now they are stuck filling those holes with free agents, which is not an ideal plan for teams who want to succeed.
Even if the Raiders reach the AFC Championship game, which is not expected, they will still have to give up a second-round draft pick. This is a pattern that you want to stay away from; it will leave your team floundering in mediocrity.
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Carson Palmer has only been to the playoffs twice in his nine-year career. Both years the Cincinnati Bengals made the playoffs with Palmer (2005 & 2009), they had a stout defense to help carry the load.
In 2005 the Bengals led the league in turnover margin with a plus-24 ranking. In 2009, their defense ranked in the top 10 in the four major categories: points allowed, yards per game, passing yards allowed and rushing yards.
The Oakland Raiders don’t have a defense that can help Palmer win games.
Last year the Raiders were just 4-6 when Palmer played. In this part of his career, Palmer needs help if he wants to win a majority of the games in which he plays. The Raiders cannot help enough to make him and the team successful.
Carson Palmer is not the answer for the Raiders as they fight to make the playoffs once again. Many people thought they gave up too much to get him and during the 2012 season the Raiders will realize that, too.