In every season in recent memory, the Atlanta Hawks have made the playoffs in the Eastern Conference, and in every season in recent memory, nobody cared.
I'm sure Gavin Floyd can sympathize.
In each of the last three seasons, he's posted an xFIP between 3.64 and 3.73. His consistency has been remarkable, but his reception among fantasy owners has been decidedly less so.
His 3.60 ERA so far this season is exactly what we should expect, but there are underlying numbers that indicate a pending jump in production.
Some might look at those numbers and say that regression is on the horizon for Floyd, and frankly I can't argue that his BABIP, which currently sits at .200, won't rise.
However, that's not the only stat that's primed for an increase.
Floyd's K/9 sits at 7.92 right now, a career-high number, but not a huge departure from the numbers he's posted over the past few years. Most of the time, these sorts of early-season changes are often nothing more than casualties of small sample size.
This isn't one of those times.
Floyd has changed his approach for this season, throwing his cut fastball more often than he ever has before. This change has resulted in a 12.2 percent swinging strike rate, by far the highest of his career.
That number is the fifth best in baseball, better than strikeout kings like Justin Verlander and Clayton Kershaw.
Eventually, that elite whiff rate is going to lead to fantastic strikeout numbers. Grab him now, before anyone notices.