MLB Trade Rumors: Predicting If Your Team Will Be Buyer or Seller at Deadline

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MLB Trade Rumors: Predicting If Your Team Will Be Buyer or Seller at Deadline
Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images

Plenty has changed since I last tackled this question over a month ago, most notably the addition of a second wild-card team in each league.

I expect, as many do, that the extra playoff bid will encourage more teams to take a buyer's approach at the July trading deadline.

The impact should be especially profound in the National League, where an absence of truly elite teams figures to create widespread parity.

The much-heralded PECOTA projection system estimates that no NL team will register 90 victories but that nine—or more than half of the league—will win between 84 and 88 games. With five playoff spots available then, we could see a scenario where 10-to-12 NL teams want to add pieces at the deadline.

That's exactly what commissioner Bud Selig and MLB brass wanted out of this rule change, and it appears that's what they'll get.

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