Amid all the arm-waving and hand-wringing, it seems that most people's opinions on what Peyton is going to do this year stem from assumptions that go unsaid.
So for the purposes of this article, we need to make a few assumptions out loud.
Assumption one is that Peyton won't retire. Assumption two is that Manning will not be with the Colts. Assumption three is that Flynn will be with the Dolphins, so they won't get Manning. Assumption four is that Manning is working hard at rehabbing his arm. Assumption five is that Peyton is a grown man who isn't afraid of playing against his brother.
If these assumptions hold true, the most likely landing for Manning, based on rumor and "insider" talk, is in Washington or Arizona.
The Redskins have the need, the money and the willingness to sign aging superstars for more than anyone else will offer. This tendency has been met with everything from dancing in the streets to my own wailing and gnashing of teeth, but it means that the Washington Redskins will get Manning if they want him.
This idea has led to an astonishing divergence in opinions about the intelligence of such an acquisition.
However, it seems that almost all the differences in opinion stem from belief in a different likely scenario. Some believe that the Peyton Manning that shows up will be 100-percent healthy, some believe he's worth having even if not healthy, and some think he's done.
So lets look at the four possible scenarios for the 2012 season with Peyton Manning as a Washington Redskin.