New York Yankees: Projections for the Next 5 Years

Phillip BrownSenior Analyst IIDecember 12, 2011

New York Yankees: Projections for the Next 5 Years

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    The New York Yankees are an aging team, but they do have an excellent farm system with some very promising young players. The Yankees are always in contention for a World Series Championship, but can Brian Cashman put together a team that can continue to dominate over the next five seasons?

    Let's find out.

2011-2012 Offseason

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    The New York Yankees will enter to finish the 2011-2012 offseason with basically the same roster as they did in 2011. Yu Darvish and Yoenis Cespedes are both options but they are both unknowns, and at $100-plus million (for Darvish) and $50+ million (for Cespedes), they will be too much of an investment for Brian Cashman.

    The Yankees retained players like CC Sabathia and Freddy Garcia, but that is all that they will do.

2012 Projected Line-Up

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    1. Derek Jeter (SS)
    2. Curtis Granderson (CF)
    3. Robinson Cano (2B)
    4. Alex Rodriguez (3B)
    5. Mark Teixeira (1B)
    6. Jesus Montero (DH)
    7. Nick Swisher (RF)
    8. Russell Martin (C)
    9. Brett Gardner (LF)

    1. CC Sabathia
    2. Ivan Nova
    3. Freddy Garcia
    4. Phil Hughes
    5. AJ Burnett
    Closer: Mariano Rivera 

2012 Predictions

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    The Yankees will win the AL East with 95-100 games and make it to the ALCS before being beaten in six games.

    CC Sabathia will win the AL Cy Young with a 22-6 record, 2.64 ERA and 227 strikeouts in 238 innings pitched.

    Mark Teixeira and Brett Gardner will win Gold Gloves and Robinson Cano and Curtis Granderson will win Silver Slugger Awards.

    Jesus Montero will finished second in the AL Rookie of the Year Voting behind Tampa Bay Ray pitcher Matt Moore by hitting .306 with 21 home runs and 86 runs batted in.

2012-2013 Offseason

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    Mariano Rivera will unfortunately retire, but will finish his career with 650 saves.

    The first thing Brian Cashman will do is sign Curtis Granderson to a new deal for about $90 million over five years.

    The Yankees will need to improve their rotation, and this is the perfect offseason because Cole Hamels, Matt Cain and Zack Greinke will be available.

    The Yankees will focus on Cole Hamels because he will only be 28-years-old and is left-handed. Matt Cain is an extreme fly-ball pitcher, so he may not pitch well in the Yankee Stadium and Zack Greinke has anxiety and depression so he will not be a great fit either.

    Hamels does pitch in the NL, but he has pitched in the postseason and won a World Series, so he can deal with the pressure. He is also a true ace and will fit behind CC Sabathia in the Yankees' rotation very nicely. Hamels will likely cost six years and $120 million.

    The Yankees will also bring Nick Swisher back on a one-year deal and will call up Manny Banuelos and Dellin Betances full-time to the majors.

2013 Projected Line-Up

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    1. Brett Gardner (LF)
    2. Curtis Granderson (CF)
    3. Robinson Cano (2B)
    4. Jesus Montero (DH)
    5. Mark Teixeira (1B)
    6. Alex Rodriguez (3B)
    7. Nick Swisher (RF)
    8. Russell Martin (C)
    9. Derek Jeter (SS)

    1. CC Sabathia
    2. Cole Hamels
    3. Ivan Nova
    4. Manny Banuelos
    5. Dellin Betances
    Closer: David Robertson 

2013 Predictions

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    The New York Yankees will own one of the best rotations in the majors because of the addition of Cole Hamels and the emergence of Manny Banuelos and Dellin Betances.

    Robinson Cano will continue to show that he is one of the best players in the majors by hitting .320 with 35 home runs and 120 runs batted in, which will earn him the AL MVP. Manny Banuelos will be in the running for AL Rookie of the Year by winning 16 games and posting a 3.48 ERA. Jesus Montero will show that the hype about him is legitimate by hitting .300 with 30 home runs and 100 runs batted.

    David Robertson will fill Mariano Rivera's shoes as humanly as possible by posting an ERA just under two and saving 40 games.

    Led by their strong rotation and great offense, the Yankees will win over 100 games and win the World Series.

2013-2014 Offseason

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    With both AJ Burnett and Rafael Soriano's contracts ($30.5 million) coming off the books, the New York Yankees will have money to spend this offseason. The Yankees do not have many holes in their roster.

    With Alex Rodriguez aging and moving to DH full-time, the Yankees will have a hole at third base.

    David Wright is a free agent and will be highly sought after by Brian Cashman. Wright has played in New York, albeit for the Mets, so he should be able to handle the pressure. He will also only be 29-years-old.

    Currently, he has hit .300 for his career, holds 27 home runs and 106 runs batted in, and has stolen 22 bases per 162 at-bats.

    Wright has not had many injury issues during his career even though he did only play 102 games in 2011. Before that he averaged 156 games per season.

    In order to facilitate Alex Rodriguez's move to DH and Nick Swisher's departure from New York, Jesus Montero will move to right field.

2014 Projected Line-Up

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    1. Brett Gardner (LF)
    2. Curtis Granderson (CF)
    3. Robinson Cano (2B)
    4. Jesus Montero (RF)
    5. Mark Teixeira (1B)
    6. David Wright (3B)
    7. Alex Rodriguez (DH)
    8. Russell Martin (C)
    9. Derek Jeter (SS)

    1. CC Sabathia
    2. Cole Hamels
    3. Ivan Nova
    4. Manny Banuelos
    5. Dellin Betances
    Closer: David Robertson 

2014 Predictions

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    As you can see from the picture, the New York Yankees will repeat as World Series Champions.

    In the last year of Derek Jeter's stay in New York, the Yankees' will win the World Series, giving Derek Jeter a seventh ring and going down as an all-time great Yankee. Jeter will join Mariano Rivera in Monument Park and the Hall of Fame.

    The Yankees will once again win over 100 games and the AL East, on top of having one of the best offenses and rotations in baseball.

    Jesus Montero, Ivan Nova and the "Killer B's" will continue to improve and, even at their ages, they will be pivotal to the Yankees' success.

2014-2015 Offseason

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    Derek Jeter will unfortunately retire, but it will be a perfect ending because his illustrious career will endwith a World Series Championship.

    This will be the offseason that will bring a youth movement to New York as Mason Williams, Gary Sanchez and Cito Culver become everyday players.

    At 35-years-old, Curtis Granderson will move from center field to left field. At 33-years-old, Brett Gardner will leave New York because his speed and defense will be declining.

    Yankees super-prospect Mason Williams will play in center field.

    Derek Jeter will be replaced by 2010 first-round pick Cito Culver, who will immediately become a Gold Glove-caliber shortstop.

    Gary Sanchez will replace Russell Martin behind the plate and will be a good defensive and great offensive catcher. Sanchez will not have as good of a bat as Jesus Montero, but his value behind the plate will be undeniable.

2015 Projected Line-Up

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    1. Mason Williams (CF)
    2. Curtis Granderson (LF)
    3. Robinson Cano (2B)
    4. Jesus Montero (RF)
    5. David Wright (3B)
    6. Mark Teixeira (1B)
    7. Gary Sanchez (C)
    8. Alex Rodriguez (DH)
    9. Cito Culver (SS)

    1. Cole Hamels
    2. CC Sabathia
    3. Manny Banuelos
    4. Ivan Nova
    5. Dellin Betances
    Closer: David Robertson 

2015 Predictions

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    Unfortunately, the Yankees will not "three-peat." Yankees veterans, such as Alex Rodriguez, Mark Teixeira, Curtis Granderson and CC Sabathia, will fall off too much, and in spite of the team's strong core, it will not be enough.

    Jesus Montero will become a serious MVP candidate and will become a decent defensive right-fielder because of his strong arm.

    The Yankees' rotation will remain strong because of the improvements of Ivan Nova, Manny Banuelos and Dellin Betances.

    CC Sabathia's size and age will finally catch up to him, and he will drop to a second-tier pitcher with an ERA around 3.30.

    The Yankees will make the playoffs and lose in the ALCS.

2015-2016 Offseason

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    The Yankees will not make any major moves during the offseason because they will have no major holes to fill.

    Brian Cashman will sign people to necessary extensions to keep the team intact for the long haul, but no other moves will be made.

2016 Projected Line-Up

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    1. Mason Williams (CF)
    2. Curtis Granderson (LF)
    3. Robinson Cano (2B)
    4. Jesus Montero (RF)
    5. David Wright (3B)
    6. Mark Teixeira (1B)
    7. Gary Sanchez (C)
    8. Alex Rodriguez (DH)
    9. Cito Culver (SS)

    1. Cole Hamels
    2. Manny Banuelos
    3. Ivan Nova
    4. CC Sabathia
    5. Dellin Betances
    Closer: David Robertson 

2016 Predictions

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    The New York Yankees will remain an elite team in the majors, but they will not win the World Series in 2016. Instead, they will make the World Series before losing in seven games.

    Curtis Granderson, Mark Teixeira and Alex Rodriguez will be on their last legs, which will keep the Yankees from winning the World Series.

    The Yankees' young stars Jesus Montero, Ivan Nova, Manny Banuelos, Dellin Betances, Gary Sanchez, Mason Williams and Cito Culver will all become studs, but they will still be too young to lead this team to a championship.

2016-2017 Offseason

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    CC Sabathia and Mark Teixeira's contracts will both be over and Alex Rodriguez will be in the last year in his contract, so the Yankees will have money to spend. Who will they sign?

    This will be difficult to project, because who knows who will be available in five years, but expect Jesus Montero to move to first base and the Yankees to go after a right-fielder and starting pitcher.