Both teams enter the game 5-7. The Bills started 3-0. They got to 5-2, but haven't won since. The Chargers had a similar start to the year. They were 4-1 through five games, but didn't win again until last Monday night in Jacksonville.
When: Sunday, Dec. 11 at 4:15 p.m. EST
Where: Qualcomm Stadium. San Diego, California
Spread: Chargers (-7), according to Bodog.
Go with the Bills here. The Chargers aren't playing well enough this year to depend on a win of eight points or more.
Over/Under: 48, according to Bodog.
I'm expecting some points here. The defenses will be more about making a key play or two, not total domination. I like the over.
Bills K Rian Lindell and TE Scott Chandler are out.
Bills CB Aaron Williams is doubtful.
Bills FS Jairus Byrd, G Chad Rinehart and SS George Wilson are probable.
Chargers S Darrell Stuckey is doubtful.
Chargers LB Donald Butler and LB Shaun Phillips are questionable.
Chargers LB Na'il Diggs, T Brandyn Dombrowski, G Tyronne Green, C Nick Hardwick, DE Corey Liuget, and G Louis Vasquez are probable.
Fantasy Big Plays
David Nelson is a nice sleeper play. With Scott Chandler out, the Bills will need to look elsewhere over the middle.
Malcom Floyd is a great play. The Bills do have an aggressive defense that forces turnovers, but that doesn't hurt receivers at all. Buffalo is also vulnerable to the big play. That's where Floyd will do his damage.
Keys to Bills Win
They need to take chances in the secondary. That's what got them off to such a nice start this season and they seem to have gotten away from that. Given the struggles of Philip Rivers this season, there's no reason to not play bold and try to force turnovers.
Keys to Chargers Win:
Keep the ball away from the Bills defenders. The Chargers' record should be much better than it is, but Rivers just turns it over too much. They need to run it and make higher percentage passes.
Prediction: Bills 31, Chargers 27
We'll see plenty of points this week. The Bills won't do enough to get back into contention, but they will pull an upset here.