NFL Picks Week 10: These 5 Home Teams Are Sure to Cover the Spread

Erick Fernandez@erickgfonsportsCorrespondent IINovember 8, 2011

NFL Picks Week 10: These 5 Home Teams Are Sure to Cover the Spread

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    On tap for Week 10 of the NFL season are a few bettor-friendly games that should be guaranteed shoo-ins.

    The performances of these home teams will confirm the odds set in Vegas.

    Unfortunately for a few of these home teams, they are the underdogs, so their poor or underachieving play will be vital for these games to cover the spread. And look for the favorites at home to do their part as well.

    These odds are taken from

Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts (IND +3)

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    The Indianapolis Colts are bad. Really bad. Like "0-9 after their Week 9 loss to the Atlanta Falcons" bad.

    Their struggles have obviously been well documented with the injury to Peyton Manning.

    I think the three-point spread is safe against any team—even against a Jacksonville Jaguars team that has struggled as well.

    Look for Jaguars running back Maurice Jones-Drew to have a big game against the second-worst run defense in the league. Also look for the Jaguars' eighth-best pass defense to cause havoc on Curtis Painter, who has struggled mightily all season long.

    It will be more heartbreak in Indy.

    Prediction: Jaguars 21, Colts 16

Houston Texans at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (TB +3)

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    After last year's 10-6 season, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers were expected to be extremely dangerous threats in the NFC South.

    Although they have had wins this season against the Atlanta Falcons and the New Orleans Saints, they have also been very inconsistent this year at 4-4. One of their losses to the San Francisco 49ers was a downright pathetic performance, losing 48-3.

    The Houston Texans, on the other hand, have played well almost all year. They are in control of the AFC South with a 6-3 record, and the division is theirs to lose. Even without star wide receiver Andre Johnson, the Texans are putting points on the board with major help from their fantasy football monster running back Arian Foster.

    Look for Foster to have his way against the Bucs, who are ranked 26th against the run.

    The defense has also played extremely well. It is ranked second against the pass and fourth against the run, so it should hinder Bucs quarterback Josh Freeman and running back LeGarrette Blount.

    Prediction: Texans 31, Bucs 21

St. Louis Rams at Cleveland Browns (CLE -2.5)

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    This matchup is not the game of the week by any stretch of the imagination, but it could be a good game to bet on the spread.

    This has been a tough season for both the St. Louis Rams and the Cleveland Browns, but much more disappointing for the Rams, who had very high expectations after finishing 7-9 with then-rookie quarterback Sam Bradford.

    They are currently 1-7, six games behind the first-place 49ers and out of the playoff race a little more than halfway through the season.

    Just when you may have thought the Rams were turning things around with a surprising 31-21 victory over the New Orleans Saints, they lost to the Arizona Cardinals in overtime.

    The Browns have been miserable on offense and are in even worse position with Peyton Hillis out indefinitely.

    Despite their struggles on offense, the Browns pass defense is currently the best in the NFL, which is not good news for a Rams team that has been held to 10 points or fewer four times through the first nine weeks.

    Although Steven Jackson should have a big game, I am taking the Browns at the "Dawg Pound."

    Prediction: Browns 24, Rams 20

Baltimore Ravens at Seattle Seahawks (SEA +7)

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    The Seattle Seahawks have played miserably, along with the rest of the NFC West (minus the 49ers, of course).

    The Seahawks are 2-6 after losing to the Dallas Cowboys in Week 9, while the Ravens are 6-2 after an impressive comeback win against the Pittsburgh Steelers.

    These teams are seemingly headed in opposite directions.

    Seahawks quarterback Tarvaris Jackson has been unimpressive all year, and this will continue in his Week 10 matchup against one of the top defenses in the NFL.

    Don't expect the "12th man" in Seattle to help the Seahawks too much against a strong and confident Ravens team.

    Prediction: Ravens 27, Seahawks 14

Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers (GB -13.5)

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    The defending Super Bowl champs have had a great season up to this point.

    Standing at 8-0, the Green Bay Packers are the team to beat in the NFL.

    The Minnesota Vikings' season has been full of frustration and blown leads. They have even replaced their starting quarterback, Donovan McNabb, with rookie Christian Ponder.

    Although Ponder has played pretty well in two starts under center, it won't be nearly enough to help the Vikings against the scary Packers offense.

    The Pack's high-powered offense has caused defensive coordinators throughout the NFL to lose sleep.

    Expect Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers and Packers wideouts Greg Jennings and Jordy Nelson to have big games against the 30th-ranked Vikings pass defense. 

    Rodgers will light up the scoreboard once again in this matchup at Green Bay.

    Prediction: Packers 34, Vikings 17