Victor Ortiz is a nice guy. He's a good fighter. He showed a lot of heart in his last fight, and he's always been fun to watch.
If Floyd Mayweather, Jr. isn't fighting Manny Pacquiao, then at least Ortiz is a feel-good story and a guy people will want to see. I'm happy for him to have gotten this opportunity, and I believe he'll do his best to make the most of it, and he will come out ready to fight.
But Ortiz won't be the person who hands Mayweather his first professional defeat.
I understand why people want to believe it's possible. Mayweather has made us want him to lose. We want to believe that at some point, his bravado and arrogance will lead him astray, and Ortiz is the kind of good guy that can do that.
I also know that "Ortiz can beat Mayweather" is great fodder for debate, and makes the most of a fight that nobody was that pleased with. Like the fighters themselves, we boxing fans are a resilient bunch.
But let's get real. The odds are 8-1 in favor of Mayweather, and the smart money is on Money. Mayweather may lose some day, but it won't be this Saturday.
Here are 12 reasons why.