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US Open Golf 2011 Leaderboard: Predicting the Top 10 Lowest Scores

Immer ChriswellCorrespondent IJune 7, 2016

US Open Golf 2011 Leaderboard: Predicting the Top 10 Lowest Scores

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    BETHESDA, MD - JUNE 18:  Rory McIlroy of Northern Ireland walks under a leaderboard with his caddie J.P. Fitzgerald on the tenth hole during the third round of the 111th U.S. Open at Congressional Country Club on June 18, 2011 in Bethesda, Maryland.  (Pho
    Jamie Squire/Getty Images

    We are one day away from witnessing history, no matter what happens. Hopefully it's the historic win of Rory McIlroy, and not the historic choke of the year.

    The leaderboard featured 22 players under par after day one. It now hosts 20 total names, one of them, Patrick Cantlay, who impresses as an amateur. However, don't expect Cantlay to finish in the top 10.

    Let's look at who's going to show up with their A-game tomorrow, and who may falter a little bit.

Who Will Fall Off

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    BETHESDA, MD - JUNE 18:  Robert Garrigus watches his tee shot on the 14th hole during the third round of the 111th U.S. Open at Congressional Country Club on June 18, 2011 in Bethesda, Maryland.  (Photo by Ross Kinnaird/Getty Images)
    Ross Kinnaird/Getty Images

    First, let's determine who doesn't have a chance of being in the top 10 tomorrow. Robert Garrigus has been playing well, but he's not built to be a great golfer. His tee shot on No. 18 was 350 yards. Garrigus then left his 120-yard wedge shot short of the green.

    Henrik Stenson had a revival this week, but it will end tomorrow with a round at a few over par.

    Bo Van Pelt will have to deal with a top-15 finish, but no top 10 for him. Zach Johnson will be looking to move up tomorrow, but his efforts won't be enough. He hasn't shown any kind of potential to throw in a good number, and tomorrow's conditions are going to multiply his difficulties.

T10: Kyung-Tae Kim and Fredrik Jacobson

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    BETHESDA, MD - JUNE 18:  Fredrik Jacobson of Sweden walks off the 18th green during the third round of the 111th U.S. Open at Congressional Country Club on June 18, 2011 in Bethesda, Maryland.  (Photo by Jamie Squire/Getty Images)
    Jamie Squire/Getty Images

    Both of these players have performed well above average, and tomorrow will be good for each of them, as they pick up a top-10 finish in a major.

    Looking at where they currently sit, they should be at a tie at two under par. The weather is supposed to be good, and the course will play harder than it has tomorrow, so a few over isn't bad.

T8: Davis Love III, Heath Slocum

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    BETHESDA, MD - JUNE 18:  Davis Love III hits his tee shot on the second hole during the third round of the 111th U.S. Open at Congressional Country Club on June 18, 2011 in Bethesda, Maryland.  (Photo by Andrew Redington/Getty Images)
    Andrew Redington/Getty Images

    Davis Love has turned back the clock, and Heath Slocum, much like Kim and Jacobson, has performed above expectations.

    Expect Love to shoot one under tomorrow, and for Slocum to follow suit to a T8 finish. Both players have played exceptionally, and get to cap it off at a total of three under par.

    If Love could keep this up, he would be a lock on his own Ryder Cup team for next year.

No. 7: Matt Kuchar

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    BETHESDA, MD - JUNE 18:  Matt Kuchar waves to the gallery on the 13th green during the third round of the 111th U.S. Open at Congressional Country Club on June 18, 2011 in Bethesda, Maryland.  (Photo by Andrew Redington/Getty Images)
    Andrew Redington/Getty Images

    I, along with Andy North, picked Kuchar for the championship. He hasn't quite played at Rory McIlroy's level, but he is up to his normal consistent play that he has brought in the last two years.

    Expect a level par round to keep Kuchar locked in at four under par.

No. 6: Brandt Snedeker

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    BETHESDA, MD - JUNE 18:  Brandt Snedeker waves to the gallery on the 13th green during the third round of the 111th U.S. Open at Congressional Country Club on June 18, 2011 in Bethesda, Maryland.  (Photo by Andrew Redington/Getty Images)
    Andrew Redington/Getty Images

    The interesting thing about these two is how they will get here. Tomorrow, Snedeker will shoot a low number. He is capable of doing it in final-round pressure, and has nothing to lose.

    If you look at it, he plays quite well when he's sitting in a high but not top position. It sets him up for a nice four-under round, I'd say. And I would also say that's the lowest of the day tomorrow, tying one other man on this list.

T4: Jason Day and Lee Westwood

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    BETHESDA, MD - JUNE 18:  Jason Day of Australia watches his his tee shot on the 16th hole during the third round of the 111th U.S. Open at Congressional Country Club on June 18, 2011 in Bethesda, Maryland.  (Photo by Jamie Squire/Getty Images)
    Jamie Squire/Getty Images

    Today, these two players reached third place by shooting six under par. Tomorrow, they'll fall to fourth, with still impressive one-under par rounds.

    Westwood will yet again be the person to fall by the wayside after a heroic effort today, as Rory McIlroy will steal all the headlines.

    Day's game leaves a lot to be thought about, but he is still a good, solid player. A one-under par shouldn't be outside his reach for tomorrow.

No. 3: Sergio Garcia

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    BETHESDA, MD - JUNE 18:  Sergio Garcia of Spain watches a tee shot during the third round of the 111th U.S. Open at Congressional Country Club on June 18, 2011 in Bethesda, Maryland.  (Photo by David Cannon/Getty Images)
    David Cannon/Getty Images

    So this may be bias, but it's also logic. Garcia has nothing to lose. A good finish is exactly what he needs just to make it into the Open Championship, with his withdrawal from the qualifying already known.

    Garcia needs to move up about 20-25 spots to get there and he will come out tomorrow with a purpose: shoot a 69 and be able to smile.

No. 2: Y.E. Yang

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    BETHESDA, MD - JUNE 18:  Y.E. Yang of South Korea watches his approach shot on the 18th hole during the third round of the 111th U.S. Open at Congressional Country Club on June 18, 2011 in Bethesda, Maryland.  (Photo by Rob Carr/Getty Images)
    Rob Carr/Getty Images

    His win is still overrated, and he is overrated, but he won't falter tomorrow. Instead, he will shoot a boring two-under par, and finish at eight under par—still impressive for a US Open and a winning score in many other years.

On a Whole Different Planet: Rory McIlroy

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    BETHESDA, MD - JUNE 18:  Rory McIlroy of Northern Ireland celebrates a birdie putt on the 11th green as Y.E. Yang of South Korea looks on during the third round of the 111th U.S. Open at Congressional Country Club on June 18, 2011 in Bethesda, Maryland.
    Rob Carr/Getty Images

    He doesn't just win tomorrow, McIlroy will be on a mission to plunge lower into the scoring realm. It's easy to tell how McIlroy's confidence has translated to his swing tempo, and all through his putting. I'm going to say it carefully: zero three-putts in 54 holes.

    With that and his greens in regulation on his side, McIlroy walks away at 18 under par, with a four-under par round for Sunday and a 10-stroke victory.

    Prediction for No. 18: He goes to the back right on the back-left pin and taps in his second putt, much like Graeme McDowell did last year.

    For more 2011 U.S. Open coverage, stay tuned to Bleacher Report for U.S. Open scores and leaderboard updates, and the latest news and analysis.

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