UFC 129 Fight Card: Predictions You Can Take to the Bank

Sal DeRoseCorrespondent IApril 25, 2011

UFC 129 Fight Card: Predictions You Can Take to the Bank

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    UFC 129 is just one of the many cards this year that has been able to produce some really great fights all in one awesome card.

    UFC 129 will become one of the biggest events in UFC history with a crowd expected of more then 50,000 people filling in the Rogers Centre in Toronto.

    The two title fights showcase some of Canada's great talent.

    In the welterweight title fight you have one of the best fighters on the planet in Georges St-Pierre.

    Then in the featherweight title fight you have one of the better strikers and challenger to Aldo's throne, Mark Hominick.

    Who prevails in Toronto?

Preliminary Card

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    Nate Diaz vs. Rory MacDonald

    Prediction: Nate Diaz

    Spike TV Airing

     

    Sean Pierson vs. Jake Ellenberger

    Prediction: Jake Ellenberger

    Spike TV Airing

     

    Claude Patrick vs. Daniel Roberts

    Prediction: Daniel Roberts

    Facebook Airing

     

    Ivan Menjivar vs. Charlie Valencia

    Prediction: Ivan Menjivar

    Facebook Airing 

     

    Jason MacDonald vs. Ryan Jensen

    Prediction: Jason MacDonald

    Facebook Airing

     

    John Makdessi vs. Kyle Watson

    Prediction: John Makdessi

    Facebook Airing

     

    Yves Jabouin vs. Pablo Garza

    Prediction: Pablo Garza

    Facebook Airing

Mark Bocek vs. Ben Henderson

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    Lightweight Bout

     

    Mark Bocek (9-3 MMA, 5-3 UFC)

    Seven wins by submission, one by knockout, one by decision

    One loss by knockout, one by submission, one by decision

    Ben Henderson (12-2 MMA, 0-0 UFC)

    Eight wins by submission, two by knockout, two by decision

    One loss by submission, one by decision

     

    Breakdown: Henderson is coming back after losing to Anthony Pettis at WEC 53 and losing his WEC lightweight championship belt.

    Both fighters are very good at submitting others, coming in with a combined 15 submission victories out of their combined 21 total victories.

    This could be a very nice lightweight battle that Henderson should regain his winning ways in. Two good ground specialists in one fight.

     

    Prediction: Henderson by unanimous decision

Vladimir Matyushenko vs. Jason Brilz

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    Light Heavyweight Bout


    Vladimir Matyushenko (25-5 MMA, 6-3 UFC)

    10 wins by decision, eight by knockout, seven by submission

    Three losses by knockout, two by decision

    Jason Brilz (18-3-1 MMA, 3-2 UFC)

    Nine wins by submission, five by knockout, four by decision

    Two losses by decision, one by submission

     

    Breakdown: Matyushenko and Brilz should be able to provide a nice fight for the fans. Brilz's last four fights have gone the distance and his last fight against Lil Nog was a split-decision loss.

    Matyushenko only has lost one time in his last five fights and is looking to make a statement here and not become a stepping stone to younger fighters.

    Matyushenko needs to keep this fight standing and should do so against Brilz and walk away with the win.

     

    Prediction: Matyushenko by second round TKO

Randy Couture vs. Lyoto Machida

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    Light Heavyweight Bout


    Lyoto Machida (16-2 MMA, 8-2 UFC)

    Nine wins by decision, five by knockout, two by submission

    One loss by knockout, one by decision

    Randy Couture (19-10 MMA, 16-7 UFC)

    Eight wins by decision, seven by knockout, four by submission

    Five losses by knockout, four by submission, one by decision

     

    Breakdown: The closer and closer we get to UFC 129, the more and more I want to pick Couture to win this fight.

    If he can get a hold of Machida and beat him around in the clinch, Couture can make this a fight. Plus not to mention God knows what strategy Couture has in plan for Machida. Whatever it is, Machida can definitely have a fight on his hands.

    But nothing makes you more hungry for a win then a two-fight losing streak and the possibility of not having an employer soon. Machida's elusiveness should help him out and stay away from the side of the cage.

     

    Prediction: Machida by unanimous decision

Mark Hominick vs. Jose Aldo

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    Featherweight Championship Bout


    Jose Aldo, Defending Champion, (18-1 MMA, 0-0 UFC)

    12 wins by knockout, four by decision, two by submission

    One loss by submission

    Mark Hominick (20-8 MMA, 3-0 UFC)

    Nine wins by knockout, seven by submission, four by decision

    Five losses by submission, two by knockout, one by decision

     

    Breakdown: Here we go, one of the main events of the night. It's going to be strange as the Toronto crowd cheers for the challenger in this match—Hominick.

    Hominick is definitely one of the best strikers Aldo has faced in his young career and could give Aldo some issues.

    Aldo will definitely look to utilize those deadly leg strikes that he has dazzled MMA fans with since becoming champion. Aldo should be able to end the fight early though and win the striking war.

     

    Prediction: Aldo by fourth round TKO

Jake Shields vs. Georges St-Pierre

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    Welterweight Championship Bout


    Georges St-Pierre, Defending Champion, (21-2 MMA, 15-2 UFC)

    Eight wins by knockout, eight by decision, five by submission

    One loss by knockout, one by submission

    Jake Shields (26-4-1 MMA, 1-0 UFC)

    13 wins by decision, ten by submission, three by knockout

    Three losses by decision, one by knockout

     

    Breakdown: We have an excellent matchup here if the fight does go to the ground. Both fighters have great ground skills, Shields has the edge though due to some great Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu knowledge.

    If GSP can keep the fight standing he will give Shields more then he can handle. Not to mention if he can take Shields down and hold him down in a ballsy move, we could get a good fight there.

    GSP finds a way to grind him, and once again doesn't finish off his opponent. One step closer to being one of the most dominant champions in UFC history.

     

    Prediction: GSP by unanimous decision