UFC 129 Fight Card: Early Predictions for Every Fight
The already sold out Toronto card has a bunch of great main card fights ready to dazzle the pay-per-view crowd.
Two championship bouts with the two of the top three, pound-for-pound fighters in the world grace the main card in Toronto.
Not to mention two former UFC champions squaring off in a bout between light heavyweights, Randy Couture and Lyoto Machida. That bout could bump up one of them into contender status in the light heavyweight division and could be the last fight for Couture. But we always say that so, you never know.
Here it is, early UFC 129 predictions for each fight.
Nate Diaz vs. Rory MacDonald
Prediction: Nate Diaz
Spike TV Airing
Sean Pierson vs. Jake Ellenberger
Prediction: Jake Ellenberger
Spike TV Airing
Claude Patrick vs. Daniel Roberts
Prediction: Daniel Roberts
Ivan Menjivar vs. Charlie Valencia
Prediction: Ivan Menjivar
Jason MacDonald vs. Ryan Jensen
Prediction: Jason MacDonald
John Makdessi vs. Kyle Watson
Prediction: John Makdessi
Yves Jabouin vs. Pablo Garza
Prediction: Pablo Garza
Mark Bocek vs. Ben Henderson
Mark Bocek (9-3 MMA, 5-3 UFC)
Seven wins by submission, one by knockout, one by decision
One loss by knockout, one by submission, one by decision
Ben Henderson (12-2 MMA, 0-0 UFC)
Eight wins by submission, two by knockout, two by decision
One loss by submission, one by decision
Breakdown: If you're looking for two great ground specialists, here you go. Bocek and Henderson combine for 21 wins. Out of those 21 wins, they combine for 15 wins by submission. It will be tough either way for these two to pull a submission off on each other and could see the end of the bout coming to a decision. Bocek is coming off of a "Submission of the Night" victory over Dustin Hazlett, but Henderson is coming off a WEC lightweight tile fight where he lost his belt to Anthony "Showtime" Pettis. Henderson should be able to regain what he once had and ride out for a victory.
Prediction: Henderson by unanimous decision
Lyoto Machida vs. Randy Couture
Light Heavyweight Bout
Lyoto Machida (16-2 MMA, 8-2 UFC)
Nine wins by decision, five by knockout, two by submission
One loss by knockout, one by decision
Randy Couture (19-10 MMA, 16-7 UFC)
Eight wins by decision, seven by knockout, four by submission
Five losses by knockout, four by submission, one by decision
Breakdown: Couture is a master strategist and will give Machida a fit. Machida's elusiveness and ability should be able to beat Couture. But, Couture comes in very prepared for each fight, and Machida will have to work very hard and outstrike Couture. Couture will try to work his clinch game on Machida, that's if he can get a handle on Machida. Machida will be able to keep the distance and ride out Couture for the decision victory. It's a very important fight for Machida who is on a two-fight losing streak and facing expulsion from the UFC.
Prediction: Machida by unanimous decision
Vladimir Matyushenko vs. Jason Brilz
Light Heavyweight Bout
Vladimir Matyushenko (25-5 MMA, 6-3 UFC)
10 wins by decision, eight by knockout, seven by submission
Three losses by knockout, two by decision
Jason Brilz (18-3-1 MMA, 3-2 UFC)
Nine wins by submission, five by knockout, four by decision
Two losses by decision, one by submission
Breakdown: Both Matyushenko and Brilz are tough fighters. Matyushenko has one thing to do and that's keep the fight standing. Matyushenko is coming off of a first round knockout win of Alexandre Ferreira at UFC 122. Brilz on the other hand is coming off of a split decision loss to Little Nog and is 2-2 in his last four fights—all of which went to a decision. Matyushenko should be able to keep this fight standing and end Brilz night before the final bell.
Prediction: Matyushenko by third round TKO
Mark Hominick vs. Jose Aldo
Featherweight Championship Bout
Jose Aldo, Defending Champion, (18-1 MMA, 0-0 UFC)
12 wins by knockout, four by decision, two by submission
One loss by submission
Mark Hominick (20-8 MMA, 3-0 UFC)
Nine wins by knockout, seven by submission, four by decision
Five losses by submission, two by knockout, one by decision
Breakdown: To many people Hominick is just fighting for respect. Hominick is going up a top three, pound-for-pound in the world fighter in Aldo. What people don't realize, or the casual fan doesn't realize, is Hominick is probably the best striker Aldo has yet faced. Hominick is the type of fighter who likes to utilize more then just head strikes and likes to work the body as well, which is as equally effective if done enough. With that said, Hominick probably won't get past Aldo as Aldo is a very talented striker and has shown more then enough ability so far to help get him the edge in this breakdown.
Prediction: Aldo by second-round TKO
Jake Shields vs. Georges St-Pierre
Welterweight Championship Bout
Georges St-Pierre, Defending Champion, (21-2 MMA, 15-2 UFC)
Eight wins by knockout, eight by decision, five by submission
One loss by knockout, one by submission
Jake Shields (26-4-1 MMA, 1-0 UFC)
13 wins by decision, ten by submission, three by knockout
Three losses by decision, one by knockout
Breakdown: Shields has a distinct edge in BJJ over GSP, and if the fight goes to the ground, Shields has a great chance at winning this fight. GSP should be able to keep this fight standing and knock around Shields. This fight is a lot closer then people think. Both fighters are on impressive win streaks and will put on a show for the fans.
Prediction: GSP by unanimous decision