Fantasy Football Week 10: Start 'Em, Sit 'Em
Every week, we list several players that we believe should start on most fantasy rosters. We do the same with folks that should take a seat on most fantasy rosters.
If you want our thoughts on players not on this list, feel free to send your start/sit questions via Twitter @EDSFootball, check out our Week 10 fantasy rankings at TheTipDrill.com or post your question in our Fantasy Football Forum.
Players to Start for Week 10
QB—David Garrard, Jaguars (vs Texans): Garrard, who was on my free-agent pickups list this week, is coming off a five-touchdown (four passing, one rushing) performance against the Cowboys. And you could argue he has a more fantasy-friendly matchup this week against the other Texas team than he had last week. No team has allowed more passing yards (298.3 per game) or touchdowns (20) than the Texans. Over the past four weeks, Garrard has scored 11 touchdowns (nine passing and two rushing) while throwing only two interceptions.
RB—Jahvid Best, Lions (vs Bills): For six consecutive weeks, Best has failed to score a touchdown or reach 100 yards from scrimmage in a game. Last week, Best faced the Jets, who have been the stingiest defense in the NFL when it comes to fantasy points allowed to opposing running backs. This week, Best faces the Bills, who have allowed a league-high 178.3 yards per game. If there's an opportunity for him to end that drought, it's this week.
RB—Brandon Jacobs, Giants (vs Cowboys): Although Jacobs' four-game scoring streak ended last week, he has had double-digit rushing attempts and 75-plus rushing yards in back-to-back games. If he continues to get double-digit carries in addition to the goal-line work, Jacobs is viable as a low-end RB2 or flex this week and going forward. Perhaps the Cowboys defense plays with more intensity one week after their head coach was fired. But their woe-is-me attitude during their five-game losing streak has led them to allow 35.8 points per game during that stretch.
WR—Nate Washington, Titans (at Dolphins): For the first time this season, Washington went over 100 yards last week. With defenses needing to focus on both Randy Moss, who will make his Titans' debut, and running back Chris Johnson, who became the NFL's sixth 2,000-yard rusher last season, Washington will have the opportunity to shine. On the season, the Dolphins rank in the top 10 of most fantasy points allowed to opposing wide receivers this season.
WR—Mike Thomas, Jaguars (vs Texans): When it comes to Thomas and Mike Sims-Walker, Thomas has certainly been more consistent than MSW. Thomas has four 50-yard games while Sims-Walker has two (both over 100 yards). The Texans have allowed the third-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers this season and as noted above, no team has allowed more passing yards and touchdowns.
WR—Steve Johnson, Bills (at Lions): For six consecutive weeks, Johnson has either scored a touchdown or gone over 100 yards receiving or both. With the loss of Roscoe Parrish for the season, Johnson, Lee Evans and David Nelson should see a few more targets than in the past. In his last four games, Johnson has had at least five receptions in each game and he has 29 receptions for 386 yards and four touchdowns during that stretch.
WR—Dez Bryant, Cowboys (at Giants): Over the past several games, Bryant has been one of the few Cowboys to show his pride and play well. In his past four games, Cowboys receiver Dez Bryant has 21 receptions for 255 yards and four touchdowns. During that same span, Miles Austin hasn't scored a touchdown and has 38 yards or less in three of those four games. In each of his last two games, Bryant has seven-plus receptions and 84-plus yards. I actually ranked Bryant higher than Austin this week.
TE—Brandon Pettigrew, Lions (at Bills): Statistically-speaking, no team is worse at defending tight ends than the Bills. In their past six games, the Bills have allowed tight ends to haul in eight touchdowns. Meanwhile, Pettigrew has scored in three of his past four games. In the games that Matthew Stafford has started, Pettigrew finished with only six receptions for 32 yards. In the five games that Stafford hasn't started, Pettigrew had 32 receptions for 330 yards. With Stafford out this week (and maybe for the season) and against the Bills, Pettigrew should be in store for a monster week.
Players to Sit for Week 10:
QB—Tom Brady, Patriots (at Steelers): Brady, who missed Wednesday's practice due to a sprained foot, is listed as "probable" for the Sunday Night game versus the Steelers, who haven't allowed a quarterback to score more than 16 fantasy points in a game this season. Since Week 4, Brady has only one multi-touchdown game. Moreover, Brady has no 300-yard games in 2010. Last year, he had seven. The chances he gets his first against the Steelers in a hostile environment is slim.
RB—BenJarvus Green-Elllis, Patriots (at Steelers): Entering last week, the "Law Firm" was looking to extend his five-game scoring streak against the Browns, who had allowed a league-low one rushing touchdown. Not only did Green-Ellis' streak end, he finished with only 14 rushing yards on nine carries. It won't get any easier this week against the Steelers, who have allowed a league-low 58.3 rushing yards per game and 2.6 yards per carry. In fact, I ranked Danny Woodhead, who's used more in the passing game, higher than Green-Ellis in my running back rankings for Week 10.
RB—Beanie Wells, Cardinals (vs Seahawks): Wells, who had only one rushing attempt last week for minus two yards, was limited in practice on Friday and is officially listed as "questionable." Over the past three weeks, the Seahawks have allowed 100-plus yards of rushing including over 200 yards last week. Although the matchup against Seattle is favorable, it's likely that Wells will be unable to exploit it.
RB—Felix Jones, Cowboys (at Giants): Five games ago, Jones posted his first-ever 100-yard rushing game during the regular season. Since then, he has only 105 combined rushing yards in four games. There is no reason to believe that the Cowboys will be able to turn around their running game this week against the Giants, who have allowed the second-fewest rushing yards (80.9 per game) this season.
WR—Steve Smith, Panthers (at Buccaneers): With Matt Moore out for the season, the Panthers will start rookie Jimmy Clausen again at quarterback. Last week, Smith was held to just one reception for nine yards. This week, the Panthers face the Bucs and Aqib Talib, who is one of the better cornerbacks in the league.
WR—Chad Ochocinco, Bengals (at Colts): Based on standard-league scoring, Ochocinco has exceeded five fantasy points only once in his past seven games. He might be a little upset with the number of targets headed his way; however, he ranks ninth in the NFL in targets (75). Calling Ochocinco "Robin" to T.O.'s "Batman" has been an over-exaggeration.
WR—Wes Welker, Patriots (at Steelers): Welker hasn't scored a touchdown for six consecutive weeks. Welker has been held to single-digit fantasy points every week since Week 1. Trading away Randy Moss has definitely hurt Welker, who's on pace for an 88-reception, 710-yard, six-touchdown season. To make matters worse, he kicks off his second half of the season against the Steelers' defense.
TE—Brent Celek, Eagles (at Redskins): Celek's fantasy value takes a hit with Michael Vick under center as opposed to Kevin Kolb. Last week, Celek had no receptions and was targeted only once. However, on the season, Celek has failed to reach 50 yards in any of his eight games. That's something he did nine times in 2009.
Good luck in your Week 10 matchup(s) and in our free fantasy football for Week 10 (new entries welcome and encouraged).
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