Superbowl XLIV: Is the Best Bet the Over or the Under?

Betting the Total in Superbowl XLIV

Superbowl XLIV is here and this is a superbowl that is making history because the posted total on the game opened at top ranked sportsbooks at 55.5 or higher. That became the highest total to ever open for a superbowl.

Colts defense has been underrated this year.

Earlier this week I posted an article about the superbowls of the past. Superbowl 44 is different from the past superbowls because the game has changed so much over the years with different rules and the athleticism of the players but this total is the same as the AFC/NFC Pro Bowl. The Pro Bowl is a game where the defense does not blitz at all and the oddsmakers are comparing this to the Superbowl?

If you like the over in this game it certainly would make sense. Peyton Manning and Drew Brees lead two very good offenses on the field and there will be plenty of points that will be scored. With that being said I think it is time to dig deeper into this game and take a look at why this total may be set too high.

The oddsmakers had no choice but to set it high because these offenses are just that good. I am going to argue that this is set way too high. The defenses are being disrespected in this contest as all of the attention is focused on the QB’s and the offense. Saints-defense-puts-target-on-Colts-Peyton-Manning" title="Saints are coming after Peyton">In fact the Saints have come out publicly and said that they will go after Manning and even look to get some hits on him to knock him out. They beat up Warner and Favre so it could happen again.

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The Colts defense has been outstanding and the under is 5-1 in the last 6 games with a total posted this high. They have only let a team score over 27 points three times this year and in the playoffs they allowed an average of ten points a game.

The Saints defense may have limped into the regular season but they found a way to create turnovers and that always will end a good scoring drive. For this game to go over both teams have to score in the mid to high 20’s. This game will not be as high scoring as people think and this should go under the posted total.

Play UNDER the total in Superbowl XLIV–get the latest line HERE

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