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The Stats Don't Lie, Week 12: Pass Offenses Vs. Pass Defenses

Steve SmithNov 28, 2009

In recent weeks I have made frequent use of stats to try to draw comparisons between Pass Offenses vs Pass defenses.ย So here goes Big Ben against the Raven'sย pass defense and Joe Flaccoย against the Steeler's pass defense:

Ben Roethlisberger vs. Baltimore'sย Pass Defense

ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย  Completion %ย ย  Att/Gmย ย ย ย ย  Ydsย ย ย ย ย ย ย  Avg/Compย ย  20 yds+ย ย ย  Sacks

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Baltimoreย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย  61.3%ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย  32ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย 2,179ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย  7.3ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย 33ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย  21

Roethlisbergerย ย ย ย  68.9%ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย  34.7ย ย ย ย ย ย  2,682ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย  8.3ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย  36ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย 29

ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย  QB Rating ย ย  Yds/Gm ย  ย  ย ย  Pts/Gm ย ย 

Baltimoreย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย  80.5ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย  217.9ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย  17.1

Roethlisbergerย ย ย ย  99.5ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย  268.2ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย  23.1

and

Joe Flacco vs. Pittsburgh Pass Defense

ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย  Completion %ย ย  Att/Gmย ย ย ย ย  Ydsย ย ย ย ย ย ย  Avg/Compย ย  20 yds+ย ย ย  Sacks

Pittsburghย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย 59.1%ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย  35.7ย ย ย ย ย ย  2,087ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย  6.4ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย 25ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย  30

Flaccoย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย  65.2%ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย  33.9ย ย ย ย ย ย  2,339ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย  7.3ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย  28ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย 

ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย  QB Rating ย ย  Yds/Gm ย  ย  ย ย  Pts/Gm ย ย 

Pittsburgh ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย  79.1ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย 208.7ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย  18.4

Flaccoย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย  88.6ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย 233.9ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย ย 23.7

Now a comparison of the same QB's and the result of like matchups:

Baltimoreย has seen the following QBs and these QB's have put up the following numbers:

QBRatingCompAttYdsTDInt
ย ย ย ย ย ย ย 
Croyle116.1162417720
Rivers85254543622
Anderson30.911199203
Quinn42.7683401
Brady100.8213225810
Palmer84.2183127111
Favre136.9212927830
Orton71233715200
Palmer91203322410
Quinn23.513319902
Manning85.3223129912
ย ย ย ย ย ย ย 
Average83.219.732.3242.21.21.0

Pittsburgh has seen the following QBs and these QB's have put up the following numbers:

QBRatingCompAttYdsTDInt
ย ย ย ย ย ย ย 
Collins81.1223524411
Cutler104.7273823620
Palmer76.7203718310
Rivers107.9213625430
Culpepper83.4233728211
Anderson5192412211
Favre76.8335033401
Orton43.9233822103
Palmer76.8183017800
Cassel100.4153024820
ย ย ย ย ย ย ย 
Average72.220.735.8215.30.80.8

So here is the comparison of the like QB's against the pass defenses:

Baltimore

ย RatingCompAttYdsTDInt
Average83.219.732.3242.21.21.0
ย ย ย ย ย ย 

Pittsburgh

ย RatingCompAttYdsTDInt
Average72.220.735.8215.30.80.8

So who has the upper hand?

The Pittsburgh passing game should have the upper hand due to the loss of the Ravens starting CB Fabian Washington. The loss of Terrell Suggs will also affect the Ravens ability to get to BB.

Should be a GREAT game! I am going to watch the game at my cousin's house (who is an avid Viking's fan) because any game I have watched there have been won by the Steelers. We need all the good MOJO we can get!

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