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Whatifsports.com will utilize our NFL simulation technology, statistical research capabilities, and up-to-the minute roster and depth chart information to preview the upcoming NFL season...

AFC West Predictions: San Diego Chargers Lead the Pack

by WhatIfSports.com (Columnist)

4

1122 reads

Preview/Prediction

June 13, 2008


Whatifsports.com will utilize our NFL simulation technology, statistical research capabilities, and up-to-the minute roster and depth chart information to preview the upcoming NFL season.

We will look at each division before presenting final standings, fantasy and statistical leaders, award winners, playoff results, and power rankings. This analysis is part of a broader endeavor with FOXSports.com's Fantasy Football.

Rosters and depth charts are up-to-date and as accurate as possible as of June 8, 2008. A schedule of upcoming NFL preview content, including links to other previews that have already been posted, is located here.

For this analysis, each regular season game is simulated 1,000 times, with the sum of the winning percentages of those games being our final predicted record. As can be noted, sometimes a team is "favored" (wins more than 50 percent of the time) in a different number of our games than the expected record shows. We list this record as the Absolute Record.

The assumption of the Absolute Record is that the more likely scenario always happens. Since we know that it does not (see Super Bowl XLII), our expected record (in parentheses next to each team) is far more accurate. Also, especially since we are rounding, it is possible for a team to win a game more often, yet score the same or fewer points on average.

In those cases, for Absolute Records, we always take higher winning percentages and are not predicting a tie or a win by an underdog. This is another reason why the expected records are more accurate, as the teams are so evenly matched, the game could easily go either way.

Today we will preview the AFC West.

 

San Diego Chargers (11-5)

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4 comments Last one added about 1 year ago — Leave a Comment

  1. ...

    Interesting. Just goes to show you, computers are both infallable, and inaccurate.
    Somehow, the computer has us losing to the Ravens, who lost Odgen to retirement, the Jets, who have no clue on which QB they want, and losing at home to Denver, where we won last year by 2 touchdowns.
    Could question the Bills game, since it won't be snowing yet, the Saints, who have failed to impress after last year's breakdown, or the second denver game, won by a late TO that was well paid for, I'm wondering what company paid for this....and can they get their money back?

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  2. ...

    This is a good plug for another Fox affiliate, however, I'd be curious on their accuracy year over year.

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  3. ...

    I'm printing this "garbage", and comparing it at the end of the season to have a good laugh.

    The only thing "Absolute" is a brand of vodka.

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  4. ...

    broncos can beat saints,buccaneers,jets, and bills

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  • About the Author WhatIfSports.com (columnist)

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