Dr. Bob's Betting Advice For JETS (-7) Vs. JAGUARS

Robert StollCorrespondent INovember 13, 2009

EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ - NOVEMBER 1:  Mark Sanchez #6 of the New York Jets throws a pass against the Miami Dolphins at Giants Stadium on November 1, 2009 in East Rutherford, New Jersey.  (Photo by Chris Trotman/Getty Images)
Chris Trotman/Getty Images

NY JETS (-7.0) 26 Jacksonville 19

Over/Under Total: 40.5
10:00 AM Pacific Time Sunday, Nov-15

New York WR Jerricho Cotchery returned from injury in week 8, after missing nearly 3 games, to join Braylon Edwards and give rookie quarterback Mark Sanchez two good targets to throw to.

Sanchez averaged a solid 6.8 yards per pass play against Miami in the first game with a full compliment of receivers and I expect a decent Jets' pass attack from here on out to go along with a good rushing attack (4.9 ypr against teams that would allow 4.5 ypr to an average team). The Jaguars can't stop the run (4.6 ypr) or the pass (6.9 yppp), so I expect the Jets to move the ball very well in this game.

New York's good defense, allowing just 4.5 yards per play to teams that would average 5.4 yppl against an average team, should win the battle against a Jacksonville offense that is 0.3 yppl better than average (5.8 yppl against teams that would allow 5.5 yppl to an average team).

My math model favors the Jets by 9 points but Jacksonville applies to 240-123-9 ATS contrary indicator. I'll pass on the side, but I like the Over.

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