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Dr. Bob's Betting Advice For LIONS (-4) Vs. RAMS

NEW ORLEANS - SEPTEMBER 13:  Calvin Johnson #81 of the Detroit Lions runs past Malcom Jenkins #27 of the New Orleans Saints at the Louisiana Superdome on September 13, 2009 in New Orleans, Louisiana. The Saints defeated the Lions 45-27.  (Photo by Chris Graythen/Getty Images)
Chris Graythen/Getty Images
Robert StollCorrespondent IOctober 30, 2009

DETROIT (-4.0) 22 St. Louis 21

Over/Under Total: 42.5
10:00 AM Pacific Time Sunday, Nov-01

The Rams have lost 17 consecutive games and Detroit is 2-28 straight up in their last 30 games, so both teams should be fired up to play a game that they have a good chance of actually winning.

St. Louis is only 12-28-1 ATS the last 3 seasons, but they're 6-4 ATS during that span when facing a team with a losing record, including 2-0 ATS this season - a 2 point loss at Washington and an overtime loss at Jacksonville two weeks ago. Both of these teams are bad on both sides of the ball, but my math model favors Detroit by just 1 1/2 points.

When two bad teams (win percentage of less than .200) play each other it is usually best to take the road team, especially in a non-division game (that's 68-36-2 ATS). I like the Rams plus the points.

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