DETROIT (-4.0) 22 St. Louis 21
St. Louis is only 12-28-1 ATS the last 3 seasons, but they're 6-4 ATS during that span when facing a team with a losing record, including 2-0 ATS this season - a 2 point loss at Washington and an overtime loss at Jacksonville two weeks ago. Both of these teams are bad on both sides of the ball, but my math model favors Detroit by just 1 1/2 points.
When two bad teams (win percentage of less than .200) play each other it is usually best to take the road team, especially in a non-division game (that's 68-36-2 ATS). I like the Rams plus the points.
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