Liver's 2009 NFL Week Six Picks

It finally rained here in Los Angeles over the week. Maybe that will put out all these goddamn fires.  If only a rain could come and wash away the mess that is the state economy. That would alleviate countless ulcers and have many here seeing God in the clouds.

Texas/OU pregame celebrations have already commenced for the Liver and he is about to board his flying saucer of a balloon to fly over the Cotton Bowl.

I think I’ve already passed my season limit of taking double digit favorites and we’re not even to Week Seven yet.

Of course, it goes without saying that the following picks AGAINST THE SPREAD are for RECREATIONAL USE ONLY. Only Rick Pitino, LeGarrette Blount, Donte’ Stallworth, Braylon Edwards, Miguel Cabrera, Tila Tequila, Isiah Thomas, Travis Henry, Serena Williams, Michael Jordan, Tony Romo, Richard Heene (a.k.a. Balloon Boy’s father), the Liver’s biological father (a.k.a. The Most Interesting Man in the World), and all Somali Pirates would be drunk enough to question the Esteemed Liver's picks.

Last week’s record: 11-3

2009 record against the spread: 50-26, .657 

Sunday, Oct. 18

N.Y. Giants at New Orleans (-3)
The game of the weekend by far. Two of the three undefeated NFC teams go at it in what may be a preview of the conference championship. The Saints are fresh off a bye and will need to focus on stopping the Giants' powerful running game. Gregg Williams will no doubt bring pressure on Eli Manning and try to make his life miserable in the pocket.  The Giants' injured secondary just might have met its match in the high octane Saints' offensive attack that has looked unstoppable at times, especially at home. Pick: New York

Kansas City at Washington (-6 ½)
Also known as Jim Zorn’s last stand. Kansas City should’ve won against the Cowboys last weekend but missed their chance. It might have a hangover effect in this game if they get off to a slow start against a troubled Redskins team that is literally playing for their coach’s job. If Kansas City can exploit the weak and injured Redskins' offensive line, they’ll be in the game. Washington isn’t good enough to be a six-plus point favorite over anybody. Pick: Kansas City

St. Louis at Jacksonville (-10)
I know I picked Seattle to beat Jacksonville last weekend but NO ONE saw that 41-0 destruction coming. Whatever ails the Jaguars should be fixed here against a Rams team that took the mantle of Worst Team in the NFL away from the Browns last weekend. If the Rams had the weapons they could exploit a Jags' pass defense that is ranked 30th in the league. Looks like Rush Limbaugh’s bid to buy the team didn’t even last a week. What a surprise. Who figured there would be a public outcry against Rush Limbaugh buying an NFL team what with his spotless past? Pick: Jacksonville

Detroit at Green Bay (-13 ½)
Green Bay is coming off their bye, but will their offensive line problems still linger? Detroit was competitive against Pittsburgh but still has a ways to go on defense. Matt Stafford’s status is uncertain for this game as is Calvin Johnson's, which means that neither will play. If Detroit can put pressure on the shaky Packers' offensive line, they might be able to make this a ballgame. I want to take Detroit here, but without their two best offensive weapons, I must gamble on the side of caution. Pick: Green Bay

Cleveland at Pittsburgh (-14)
Don’t expect the Browns to add to their win streak here. Derek Anderson is not going to beat this team going 2-for-17-for-23 yards. The Steelers have owned this team since 2003, winning 11 in a row and nothing should change in this matchup. The Steelers have had problems putting teams away late in games this year, but there is nothing to indicate that the Browns can even score on them. This isn’t the Buffalo Bills. Pick: Pittsburgh

Houston at Cincinnati (-5)
The Texans followed their pattern last week of lose-win, lose-win, and continue to be the definition of mediocrity. The Bengals pulled out another last minute fourth quarter win and will have to be careful of a letdown here. Much of the Bengals' success has come on the ground with Cedric Benson reviving what had been a bust of a career. The Texans have had problems with strong running teams, so look for the Bengals to pound away with the run game. Still, the Texans can put up points. Pick: Houston

Baltimore at Minnesota (-3)

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