QBER/Week 2: Manning, Warner Movin' on Up, Romo Tumbles

Paul LadewskiCorrespondent IISeptember 24, 2009

JACKSONVILLE, FL - SEPTEMBER 20:  Kurt Warner #13 of the Arizona Cardinals attempts a pass during the game against the Jacksonville Jaguars at Jacksonville Municipal Stadium on September 20, 2009 in Jacksonville, Florida.  (Photo by Sam Greenwood/Getty Images)

(QBER is short for Quarterback Efficiency Rating, a more comprehensive and easily understood rating system that places the emphasis where it belongs—the ability of a quarterback to advance the ball, avoid negative plays and score touchdowns in comparison to his peers. A 100.0 rating is the league average.)

After subpar performances in their regular-season openers, Peyton Manning and Kurt Warner started to climb the QBER charts in the second week of the season.

Manning shot up from 15th to fourth overall, while Warner moved from 23rd to 11th among quarterbacks who had taken part in a minimum of 37 pass plays this season, or one-half the league average.

The QBER leaders after Week Two of the regular season:

1. Brees 209.2; 2. Ryan 158.3; 3. Edwards 144.9; 4. P. Manning 142.7; 5. Schaub 140.3; 6. Favre 140.0; 7. Orton 132.0; 8. Flacco 129.1; 9. E. Manning 122.3; 10. Sanchez 120.9; 11. Warner 114.1; 12. Hasselbeck 113.7; 13. Rodgers 112.8; 14. Rivers 103.7; 15. Romo 103.3; 16. Bulger 103.0; 17. Leftwich 101.8; 18. Collins 96.8; 19. Hill 91.7; 20. Garrard 91.2; 21. Brady 86.7; 22. Roethlisberger 85.2; 23. Russell 79.5; 24. Cutler 76.5; 25. Cassel 74.7; 26. Campbell 71.8; 27. Palmer 63.0; 28. Pennington 56.8; 29. Quinn 51.5; 30. Stafford 37.6; 31. Kolb 34.5; 32. Delhomme -4.6.

Some observations:

  • While the NFL formula is generous to third-ranked Brett Favre largely because of his .771 completion percentage—is he the new Chad Pennington or what?—his QBER is a more reasonable sixth overall. Reason: His 4.1 net yards per pass play ranks near the bottom in the league.
  • The flip side is Marc Bulger, who has averaged more yards per pass play (4.2) than Favre despite a significantly lower pass completion percentage (.500), which is the  product of the score and the nature of the play calls to large extent.
  • Drew Brees is on top for the second week in a row. How good has the veteran been thus far? In simple terms, his 209.2 rating means he’s more than twice as good as the average quarterback.
  • Matt Schaub was the biggest gainer in Week Two, which saw him move from 26th to fifth on the strength of his net production of 361 yards, four touchdowns and zero turnovers last weekend.
  • Tony Romo experienced the biggest drop (second to 15th), primarily because of his three turnovers, one of which was returned for a touchdown.
  • Six quarterbacks have produced at a rate above the league average in each of the three prime categories: Brees, Schaub, Warner, Matt Ryan, and Eli and Peyton Manning.
  • Who are ranked Nos. 21 and 22? None other than Tom Brady and Ben Roethlisberger, who have combined for five Super Bowl championships in their careers. Brady has fared well only in the turnover category, the one area in which Roethlisberger has come up short thus far.
  • Jake Delhomme bounced back after disastrous season-opener if only because he couldn’t have been worse. A repeat performance will give him a positive QBER for the first time this season.